Okay, we all know now that if the Bears win their next 2, they only need Minnesota to lose 2 out of their next 3.
If the Bears win one of their next 2, they need Minnesota to lose out in their next 3.
If the Bears lose their next 2, they're done.
But now let's look at their slim Wild Card chances:
Chicago would still have a mathematical shot at the wild card with a loss, but the odds are slim at best, even if it beats Green Bay and Houston on Dec. 28. In that case, the Bears would need four of these five scenarios to play out:
- Washington to lose one of its three remaining games. (@ Cin, vs. Phi, @ SF)
- Philadelphia to lose one of its last three. (vs. Cle, @ Was, vs. Dal)
- Atlanta to drop two of three. (vs. TB, @ Min, vs. Stl)
- Dallas to lose two of three. (vs. NYG, vs. Bal, @ Phi)
- Tampa Bay to lose its final three games. (@ Atl, vs. SD, vs. Oak)
So you have to imagine Tampa Bay losing out would be pretty improbable with 2 home games.
So that leaves the 1st 4 scenarios needed:
Washington could conceivably lose to Phi OR SF.
Philadelphia could conceivably lose to Was OR Dal.
Atlanta could conceivably lose to TB and Min. (Min losing to Ari & NYG would ease that Atl loss)
Dallas could conceivably lose to NYG, Bal, OR Phi.
So, THIS weekend we are looking for Washington, Philadelphia, Atlanta, and Dallas to all lose. One week at a time, and winning the Division looks a little easier, but it's nice to know who else we should be rooting for this weekend in addition to Arizona.