Kyle Orton and the 5-0 Denver Broncos have everyone and their grandma talking about the Jay Cutler trade... and comparing the two QBs. Some of the commentary around the web and sports talk radio is quite a stunning over-reaction. There are the small collection of Bear fan-Orton supporters, who contend the Bears got it all wrong by trading away Orton. And, there are Broncos fans who, at the moment, do not miss Jay Cutler.

I just wanted to breakdown some numbers, and let you all draw your own conclusions.

In 38 career games, Kyle Orton is 26-12, with a career QB rating of 75.1, and a 56.5 COMP%

Orton (40 total TDs) averages 1 TD (passing and rushing) for every 26.95 pass attempts
Orton (32 total turnovers) averages 1 turnover (INT or fumble) for every 32.66 pass attempts

TD/Turnover ratio: Orton averages 1.25 TDs, per every turnover he makes

3.4% of Orton's pass attempts result in a passing TD

W-L in 2005 = 10-5 | Bears overall D ranking = #2
W-L in 2007 = 2-1 | Bears overall D ranking = #28
W-L in 2008 = 9-6 | Bears overall D ranking = #21
W-L in 2009 = 5-0 | Broncos overall D ranking = #6

Orton has 9 games in his career with a QB rating > 90

vs DET 2005 = 103.3
vs GB 2007 = 103.2
@ DET 2008 = 121.4
vs MIN 2008 = 114.5
@ HOU 2008 = 97.1
@ CIN 2009 = 100.7
@ OAK 2009 = 92.1
vs DAL 2009 = 117.5
vs NE 2009 = 96.7

Orton has 8 games in his career with a QB rating < 50

vs CIN 2005 = 14.7
@ NO 2005 = 43.3
vs  SF 2005 = 42.8
vs GB 2005 = 23.7
vs ATL 2005 = 39.6
@ MIN 2008 = 39.1
vs NO 2008 = 49.2
vs GB 2008 = 48.7

In 41 career games, Jay Cutler is 20-21, with a career QB rating of 87.3, and a 62.6 COMP%

Cutler (66 total TDs) averages 1 TD (passing and rushing) for every 20.44 pass attempts
Cutler (47 total turnovers) averages 1 turnover (INT or fumble) for every 28.70 pass attempts

TD/Turnover ratio: Cutler averages 1.40 TDs, per every turnover he makes

4.6% of Cutler's pass attempts result in a passing TD

W-L in 2006 = 2-3 | Broncos overall D ranking = #14
W-L in 2007 = 7-9 | Broncos overall D ranking = #19
W-L in 2008 = 8-8 | Broncos overall D ranking = #29
W-L in 2009 = 3-1 | Bears overall D ranking = #7

Cutler has 21 games in his career with a QB rating > 90

@ SD 2006 = 97.6
@ ARI 2006 = 101.7
vs JAC 2007 = 96.6
vs PIT 2007 = 106.7
vs GB 2007 = 95.7
vs TEN 2007 = 137.0
@ CHI 2007 = 96.4
vs KC 2007 = 141.0
@ HOU 2007 = 95.5
vs MIN 2007 = 106.4
@ OAK 2008 = 137.5
vs SD 2008 = 109.6
vs NO 2008 = 93.3
vs TB 2008 = 96.1
@ CLE 2008 = 107.9
@ ATL 2008 = 106.4
@ NYJ 2008 = 94.8
vs KC 2008 = 102.7
vs PIT 2009 = 104.7
@ SEA 2009 = 126.4
vs DET 2009 = 100.4

Cutler has only 4 games in his career with a QB rating < 60* (On Orton's comparison, I went < 50)

@ OAK 2007 = 45.6
@ SD 2007 = 32.7
vs OAK 2008 = 49.8
@ GB 2009 = 43.2