Jay Cutler: Football Outsiders Breakdown
Football Outsiders writer Doug Fararr breaks down what's going on with Jay Cutler, the offensive line, and Ron Turner. He spoke with Greg Cosell from NFL Films and ESPN's State Farm NFL Matchup about Jay. A sample from the article:
while I have no clue what's going on in his head, the tentative throws I'm seeing indicate a shell-shocked player in a situation that doesn't work for him at all.
HT to Hatchetm for the link
Please read the whole article, it is very informative. I'll highlight a couple of relevant quotes.
I think you’re seeing the cumulative effect of a lot of things. One is an offensive line that is probably the worst in pro football.
He's waiting for the pressure. He's perceiving the pressure now when it's not there because it’s happened so often, he’s just expecting it to happen. He’s always been a tight window thrower. That’s one of the things that makes him different and that’s an attribute I think you have to have in the NFL, but he needs receivers who are bigger, who are more physical, who attack the football, who can make contested catches -- he doesn’t have one receiver like that in Chicago. And I’m not talking about tight ends, I’m talking about wide receivers. He’s got receivers who are runners. They don’t attack the ball; they don't make contested catches.
He’s an unbelievable talent that needs to be harnessed. Arguably, the two most gifted quarterbacks, in terms of pure, physical gifts, are Roethlisberger and Cutler. No one throws a ball like Cutler. He’s unbelievable.
I was astonished to see Pace get no help with Allen on any of those plays. Offensive coordinator Ron Turner managed to combine the protection leakage of wide sets with the inflexible non-production of a quick-screen-only offense. It was mind-blowing.
When you're facing a line like Minnesota's, and you have no protection, your only hope is that your deep receiver is faster to the completion of his route than Jared Allen is in knocking your head off.
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He's an absolute beast of a QB
I hope they get Jay a OC and QB coach who can get this guy where he has the potential to be. I firmly believe that he’s not being coached well right now and the plays they call don’t fit his strengths. He needs a mentor and Ron Turner and Peppy le peu are not cutting the mustard.
Bears offensive coaching is absolutely horrendous
Cutler has basically been coaching himself. But when you look at the terrrible supporting cast around Jay, it’s really not surprising. I knew the Bears front five is weak, but I was a little surprised that he thought that their line is actually the worst in all of football.
Turner and Hamilton are also probably amongst the worst in football.
"Yes, risk taking is inherently failure-prone. Otherwise, it would be called sure-thing-taking." - Jim McMahon
wow, that's a great article. I want to expand on one thing...
Confidence Vs. Shell shock. A lot of people have been saying that Jay has lost his confidence, but I don’t think so. He may have lost confidence in his line, his receivers, and his coaching staff, but he has absolute confidence in himself still. That’s why you see him still try to make risky throws in small windows, and still be calm in the pocket.
Now as far as shell-shock, it’s understandable. If you got hit 2.5 seconds after you said “hike!”, you would rush your throws and have bad mechanics, too! I don’t care if your name is Cutler, Brady, Manning, whatever.
I just hope that Cutler and whoever replaces Turner and Pep recognizes that this is happening, so they can correct it eventually. Otherwise he’s going to be like a Vietnam vet with PTSD, and every time someone says “boo!”, he’ll chuck the football 5 yards past his receivers or zero in on Olsen and try to force it to him even if he’s covered by half the D.
Great article.
Lifelong Arizona Cardinals/Chicago Bears fan.
No band-wagoner fans allowed, pick a team and stick with em, throughout the good and the bad.
I've been saying this all season...
even when he scrambles, Jay can make some amazing plays, throwing with so much strength off one foot and across his body. Problem is, like this article has stated, when he was doing that in Denver, he had RECIEVERS to help him, and he wasn’t under as much pressure (he was sacked only 11 times last season). Remember, Grossman? When the pressue hit him he’d either throw the ball wildly or run 20 yards back and crumple. I know Jay is throwing Rex-type numbers as far as INTs are concerned, but it’s between the picks that I see a huge difference. We all know he has a rare talent with that arm, I think we are all just apprehensive as to where the problem is NOW.
Go back to the Minny game last week and you’ll see some sick plays he DID make. The 3rd and short play action that he and forte sold left and then he hits hester down the right side as he’s still spinning out of the play action! The TD pass to knox that came right down the chimney. Everytime I want to hate him he makes a mind blowing play that just keeps that “what if” in the back of your mind.
I think Bennett and Knox
Could some day be the receiver who make contested catches. I know Knox is a midget but he has leaping ability and we’ve seen him make some tough catches over the middle and try to leap up and make a tough catch. Bennett also has made some incredibly difficult catches in traffic. I think with another year under each of their belts they could be fine receivers. But that is asking a lot.
GG
I believe your analysis is 100 % on the money. However, I also believe its going to take a hell of a lot more receiver coach than this organization currently possesses, which also goes for Jay’s position and as long as I am at it most of the other position coaching, coordinators, head coach……
"They better get another quarterback cuz we're comin"-#58 Wilber Marshall LB Chicago Bears
it seems like the WRs are either stupid, or have no coaching
they consistently don’t fight for 50/50 balls/come back for balls/don’t run out their routes. the last one i get, because they’re young. but the first two are inexcusable. if you’re a coach on the bears, you drill this into their head non-stop. maybe they have been and the guys aren’t getting it, but i don’t think that’s the case. you need practice and repetition to get that stuff ingrained in your head…and if you don’t have good coaches who do that, you’ll keep doing the same thing every week. i certainly think hester, bennett, and knox are a nice trio (plus DA), but they’re all VERY YOUNG and need good coaching. if those 3 fought for balls all year long, we’d be in much better shape, probably still in the playoff hunt.
by guy incognito on Dec 3, 2009 6:33 PM CST up reply actions
Don't forget the offensive line coach
The Bears need an entire over-haul of their offensive coaching staff…
"Yes, risk taking is inherently failure-prone. Otherwise, it would be called sure-thing-taking." - Jim McMahon
Dave Toub can't stay?
You just made half of Bears nation cry.
by Steven Schweickert on Dec 4, 2009 8:14 AM CST via mobile up reply actions
Execption
Hopefully they keep him around. His contract is up this year, is it not? We would literally be bad in all 3 phases of the game, virtually every game, if he left IMO.
One question
Who is Greg Cosell and what are his credentials as an analyst? that’s not meant to be derogatory in any way. I’ve just never heard of the guy and I’d like to know if he’s someone who knows what he’s talking about.
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"Newbie, if the next two words out of your mouth aren't 'See ya' then the third word will be 'Oh my god. My crotch. You've punched me in my crotch." - Dr. Percival Ulysses Cox
Cool link.
Now how does that work? Nevermind I’ll figure it out….
If you can't laugh at yourself you must not be very funny.
haha.
good call.
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"Newbie, if the next two words out of your mouth aren't 'See ya' then the third word will be 'Oh my god. My crotch. You've punched me in my crotch." - Dr. Percival Ulysses Cox
by David Taylor on Dec 4, 2009 11:37 AM CST up reply actions
He invented the show NFL Matchup along with Steve Sabol of NFL Films
He’s the shows producer. For decades he’s worked in the business breaking down “coaching tape.”
Greg and the show’s talent, Ron Jaworski and Merril Hoge, study and evaluate what is called "coaching tape." It shows all 22 players on the field on every play; it is the same tape used by coaches and players in the NFL to game plan each and every week. It’s the only football show on television that goes through this process.
He’s as good an analyst as the rest of them.
by Mike Mueller on Dec 4, 2009 10:25 AM CST up reply actions
Great Article
It pretty much supports what I was already thinking about our offensive talent and play calling. Was the film session only for the Vikings game? I didn’t see any comments about the TE play. There was the INT against the 9ers (missed call I know) where K. Davis just got steamrolled. That guy is 6’7 and should have won that match-up regardless. Olsen doesn’t fight for balls either.
Depressing though, to have someone else acknowledge that our O Line is the “worst in pro football,” our OC is so bad it’s "mind-blowing, " and absolutely everything is working against Cutler.
yup,
all that combined with a gunslinger for a quarterback adds up to a long work day!
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"Newbie, if the next two words out of your mouth aren't 'See ya' then the third word will be 'Oh my god. My crotch. You've punched me in my crotch." - Dr. Percival Ulysses Cox
That's A Nice Breakdown.
I especially like the statement Jay is anticipating pressure on every throw, whether the players are there or not. And the gross incompetence displayed by Ron Turner in regards to not making in game adjustments was very spot on. Ron Turner is a retard.
In all my dreams
I couldn’t envision a scenario where the Bears would be 4-7, but I did mention on this blog many times that they were taking a big risk not getting a big-body type of WR who could “go up and get the ball.” I thought it would be the difference between making the playoffs and not making playoffs.
We're not scaremongering (nightmare of a season continues), this is really happening (Bears are more than done) - Radiohead

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