Jerry Angelo and Trading Draft Picks
Are you talking to me?
With the draft quickly coming up on us, many of you are fast asleep at night with dreams of Heyward-Bey or Jeremy Maclin tip toeing down the sidelines in your head. Some of you have got into full on "Where's the Beef?" mode and are expecting Oher or Beatty are waiting for us. And maybe some of the more optimistic of you think that by some chance Andre Smith or Michael Crabtree off of their recent issues will still be sitting there for us at 18. Maybe though we should be focusing on what is the more likely situation. Trading back.
Angelo is a draft guy. That is his reputation and how he made a name for himself, so don't expect that to change. I have no doubt that Angelo and the Bears have never been unprepared or outworked when it came to scouting for the draft. Maybe their evaluating abilities are up for question, but that is a different post. That fact remains that Angelo has pinpointed a guy he can get farther back then where we are and it now looking to leverage that into more picks.
This post appeared on the official site listing out Angelo's trade history at the draft.
Since 2001 Angleo has been the man down in Chicago. He has made 22 trades involving draft picks. Players were apart of 13 of those trades. That leaves 9 trades. Eight of those involved moving down.
1) In 2002, the Bears sent second- and fourth-round picks to the Cowboys for selections in the third (cornerback Roosevelt Williams), fourth (defensive end Alex Brown) and fifth (safety Bobby Gray) rounds
2) In 2003, the Bears traded the fourth overall choice to the Jets for the 13th and 22nd (quarterback Rex Grossman) picks and a fourth-rounder (defensive tackle Ian Scott)
3) They then sent the 13th selection to the Patriots for the 14th choice (defensive end Michael Haynes) and a sixth-rounder that they packaged in the trade for Gage
4) In 2004, the Bears sent a fourth-round pick to the 49ers for selections in the fourth (linebacker Leon Joe) and fifth (defensive end Claude Harriott) rounds
5) In 2006, the Bears traded their first-round choice (26th overall) to the Bills for picks in the second (nickel back Danieal Manning) and third (defensive tackle Dusty Dvoracek) rounds
6) In 2007, they traded their second-round selection to the Chargers for choices in the second (defensive end Dan Bazuin), third (running back Garrett Wolfe) and fifth (safety Kevin Payne) rounds
7) In 2008, they dealt their fourth-round pick to the Dolphins for selections in the fourth and seventh (defensive end Ervin Baldwin) rounds
8) They sent the fourth-round choice they acquired from the Dolphins and a sixth-round pick to the Buccaneers for selections in the fourth (safety Craig Steltz) and fifth (tight end Kellen Davis) rounds.
The one time he traded up was to get receiver Justin Gage, which in hind site might have been a good idea, just not for us.
Give me your opinions on this? Do you think trading down is the best option in most cases? Looking at who he traded down to get and who he picked up with the the extra picks, has it served the Bears well?
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Comments
I think that in some cases its been good, 2006 for example
Because sitting at 26 there was no one we really needed or wanted badly and there wasn’t much we were going to miss by trading back. To me its not more of a who did we get by trading back it’s who did we miss by trading back? I can’t speak for all these moves and maybe I will look some up later, but it seems to me if the 2 or 3 guys you really convent at that spot are gone, why not get more picks rather than pick your 4th or 5th best prospect, esp if those guys are going to be there 5 or more picks further back. You don’t want to reach.
by GallopingGhost on Mar 17, 2009 12:32 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
We have do many glaring needs this year...
and need immediate starters. I hope we use our 1st and 2nd round picks (in some fashion) instead of trading down.
Ryan Perilloux in 2010!!
by Dane Noble on Mar 17, 2009 12:53 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Agreed
trading back has its benefits, but 3 maybe starters or projects does not replace one blue chip guy.
Being Who You Thought We Were Since 2005!
by Adam T on Mar 17, 2009 12:54 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
But trading back....
can net a lot of quality player though.
Say we trade the 18 to the eagles at 25? and net a third with that.
we pick Nicks at 25 then trade our second for a later second a third and a fifth.
Pick Loadholt with the later two. We then pick up Delmas with one third. Eric wood with the second Robiskie with the third and Derrick Vikune or Will Davis at DE. Then we have 5 positions shored up with 4 more picks left.
"I am Kyles mom , I support him but I don't believe in him"- GeauxBears
by scespy12 on Mar 17, 2009 1:21 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Again I didn't say there is no value
last year we traded back and had something like 6 7th round picks. How many of them really are going to be starters?
Being Who You Thought We Were Since 2005!
by Adam T on Mar 17, 2009 1:25 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
But trading
from 18 to 20-30 would net us an extra second or third round pick. That could be a player like Robiskie, Iglesias, Loadholt, Duke Robinson, Josh Freeman, William Moore, etc.
That’s worth doing imo.
DEJESUS!!!
by tomas21 on Mar 17, 2009 1:29 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't see
any blue chip prospects being there at 18. If we were in the top 10, I’d agree, we need to take the star and live with his contract. At 18, we’re into the second or third tier of players, and I don’t think you could make a convincing argument that a player (say a WR) taken at 18 has a significantly better chance of working out than one taken at 25-35.
Would anyone bet money that Heyward-Bey will be a better prospect than Britt or Nicks? Outside the top 4 tackles (Monroe, both Smiths and Oher) who will likely be gone at 18, there isn’t a concensus next best guy that we couldn’t get 10 picks later. The top 2 QBs will be gone, the next one might not go til mid second round.
I don’t see any risk in trading down from where we are this year.
DEJESUS!!!
by tomas21 on Mar 17, 2009 1:28 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Especially
If we can shore up holes in other places
"I am Kyles mom , I support him but I don't believe in him"- GeauxBears
by scespy12 on Mar 17, 2009 1:30 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Trading back is without a doubt the right call in this case.
Best case scenario really is grabbing a WR at 18 Nicks/DHB/Maclin, pick your poison I’m not going to say one over the other, but that’s the general consensus of what is going to help us the most that has any kind of value at 18.
Where as some kind of trade back/swap that nets us another 2nd rounder could do wonders for this team as I’ve said before.
Trade back into the late 1st/Early 2nd round, pick up the best out of the needs we have. That may be Kenny Britt, That may be quality FS prospect, That may be Phil Loadholt, That may be Duke Robinson.
If we came out of this draft with those 4 players, all four of them would be likely starters. Our offense would be much improved. Our WR core would feature Hester/Britt/Bennett with Rideau hopefully on the bench. We’d have a great RB tandem, behind a newly rebuilt line built to punish in the run game. We’d have two of the best TE in the league, and one up and coming 2nd year player. If we picked up one of the quality centers in this draft such as Eric Wood with our comp pick, our line could be pretty much set for the next decade.
You make the call on the Safety prospect, there are a ton of them in the draft and all are ranked roughly close together depending on who you ask. I think Sean Smith might be the best of the bunch for FS, but I’ve heard other good opinions ranking other people right there with him. However, as long as he can make a firm effort to start, he’s got to be better than the guy we got from the saints, and him and Zach can fight it out for the starter spot.
Pick up one of the FB prospects late in the draft Quinn Johnson/Brennan Southerland/Jorvorskie Lane,(I’d lean towards Southerland) and we’d turn into a extremely fearsome offense in one draft, with one of the best running games in the league, combined with a much improved passing game that would be tailor made to Orton’s abilities and we’d be extremely hard to stop.
FS is our biggest hole right now and I think between Zach and the new guy we should have a quality starter.
by Sklz711 on Mar 17, 2009 1:07 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Some good points but...
how can you say that.
bq.FS is our biggest hole right now and I think between Zach and the new guy we should have a quality starter.
I still think that we need to address WR. That is our biggest hole. Even the line. I agree that I think Bowman will be able to fill that spot in the near future I think he has a great upside but didn’t really have a chance to prove himself due to injury. I’m all for trading back IF it nets us good quality players. There is really no way to guess how players will turn out in the long run based on the round that they are drafted in.
I’d still like to see some form of action out of Halas before the draft so we don’t have to put all our hopes and dreams into what we can get from the draft. I don’t think I can hold my breath all that much longer though.
If things came easy, then everybody would be great at what they did, let's face it.
Mike Ditka
Catch Phrase of the day: YAAAAAAAY! <---- Courtesy of ChiFan13.
by Ditkavsworld on Mar 17, 2009 1:14 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
I can't do
anything right today. Mulligan for not being able to reply or format correctly.
If things came easy, then everybody would be great at what they did, let's face it.
Mike Ditka
Catch Phrase of the day: YAAAAAAAY! <---- Courtesy of ChiFan13.
by Ditkavsworld on Mar 17, 2009 1:15 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
How can I say that...
Because Hester as at worst a decent burner number 2 WR. He may be a 1 some day, it may even be this season depending on how well he worked on routes and such in the offseason. However, I think we can all agree he’s an acceptable burner even if we disagree on him being turned into a WR in the first place.
Now then, we have to look at EB. “He couldn’t crack the line up” isn’t a good argument considering how reluctant our coaching staff is to try people at positions unless injuries occur. I think EB can be a solid number 2 as well. Now that Nicks stock as caused him to erupt into the first round I actually think Kenny Britt is the better deal. Combine that thought process on our WR core, with the idea that I like our QB, and I love our RB situation.
I agree WR is a need, hence saying we should try to get Britt. However, we have a player that hasn’t played FS for years and a very low level of competition no matter how much we agree with his upside, and we have player that we all pretty much agree is mediocre at best. Considering how much our defense needs to have a quality FS to function properly I don’t know how you can say it isn’t our biggest need, the only problem is there really isn’t a safety worth taking at 18, not even close. Sean Smith could possibly be worth a late first pick, but even that probably isn’t the best value pick.
Basically what I’m saying is, just because I think it’s our biggest hole and biggest need doesn’t mean I think we should draft one in the first round because the value just isn’t there.
If you have a competition between Zach and the rookie to be named later to see who is best right now, no matter who wins they will need to be learning the position from the bench, specially if it IS Sean Smith because he wasn’t a FS in college either. That guy from the Saints is absolute trash and should be depth only.
With our heavier use of the two TE set, and at least two 2/3 WR on board, I think one of the vital parts of our defense that doesn’t have a starter is a massive need.
by Sklz711 on Mar 17, 2009 2:15 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I hear what you are saying
and I agree with most everything you’ve said. I didn’t mean to come across like I thought you were crazy for saying FS is our biggest need. The problem is we have so many needs that you can argue just about every position and say why it’s important to address that. I feel good about our running back situation on paper but I’d like to see more out of Jones before I’m sold.
If things came easy, then everybody would be great at what they did, let's face it.
Mike Ditka
Catch Phrase of the day: YAAAAAAAY! <---- Courtesy of ChiFan13.
by Ditkavsworld on Mar 17, 2009 4:03 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
No doubt
Yeah, we do have a lot of needs, and sadly very few of our needs match up with positions of quality and depth in this draft.
For example.
We need run blocking OLine for the right side. The majority of the OT/OG that came out are finesse LT type players, which we really don’t need. Honestly, outside of Phil and Duke, and maybe Vasquez and a couple of the G I didn’t see that many thumpers in the whole first three rounds. HJ might not be bad, but I am always skiddish about players that got by solely on their size if they don’t have a mean streak. There is a deep center class, which could be good if we’re planning on Beeker staying at G.
We need a WR, but we need either a tall route running champ with good hands, or an Anquan Boldin YAC type guy, when a lot of the WR in this draft are more like Hester with more WR experience. Orton can throw the long ball, but it’s definately not his area of comfort, nor his best throw.
We need a FS, when most of the S in this draft are SS, and none of them on paper are worth a first rounder and Sean Smith only because he may not be good enough for CB.
Considering the majority of the players that fit our needs either project now, or originally projected as a 2nd rounder, I think it’s a great idea to trade down. I’d even be happy about trading some of our lower round picks for another third.
We don’t have a bad team really, but it’s like trying to build some sort of lego structure without having all the proper blocks. You get a bunch of useless pieces that don’t fit well together. How do you run the ball 30-35 times a game with a horrible run blocking line, and a bad FB? How do you take advantage of your QB’s best area (10-20yd) when your best WR is a pure burner, and your slot couldn’t hold onto the ball if his life depended on it? Bennett was projected to be a solid intermediate possession threat, but he didn’t even see the field because of our stubborness when it comes to letting players see the field when our current options definately aren’t getting the job done, see davis/booker. How do you play the Cover 2 without a FS? It’s just mindboggling.
by Sklz711 on Mar 17, 2009 4:40 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think
that the Bears were unprepared for Michael Haynes to be their pick when they traded back from #4. From what I heard, they hadn’t really researched him thoroughly and hadn’t expected him to be there. Otherwise, i agree that they are well-prepared and thorough.
Their general approach in teh first round seems to take high floor guys who may not have the highest ceiling, so as to avoid busts. But most of his first round picks have been busts, so i think they should scrap that strategy and just go for the player they think is the best.
I agree with trading down this year. We have too many needs, and the talent at 18 doesn’t look much different than the talent in the late first/early second, particularly at WR.
DEJESUS!!!
by tomas21 on Mar 17, 2009 1:23 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Does anyone else....
Find it incredibly sad that our two out of our top three needs last year, are two of our top needs this year?
"I am Kyles mom , I support him but I don't believe in him"- GeauxBears
by scespy12 on Mar 17, 2009 1:44 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
curious...
how many years does angelo left have on his contract? if the bears tank in ’09 will he be back?
how many years does lovie have left on his contract? if the bears tank in ’09 will he be back?
The reason I ask is that I expect the bears to lose again. Lose badly actually. They will fail miserably in the draft again (AGAIN!) and put up a 5-to-7 win season and miss the playoffs for the 3rd consecutive year. If all I have to do is put with 1 more bad season to witness the angelo/lovie get the boot and Chicago bring in Shannahan, Cowher, etc. then I am all for it.
by tripsevens on Mar 17, 2009 2:15 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
they both signed an extention recently
I want to say they are signed through 2011, but would need to verify that.
Being Who You Thought We Were Since 2005!
by Adam T on Mar 17, 2009 2:22 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Trading back? It depends.
I think trading back may make sense if you are on the clock and you think you will be reaching for your pick. If that pick (or a person of equal quality on your board) is available later and you can trade back, then do it. Not very sexy or exciting, but that’s what you have to do.
If your guy is there at the value you place on him, then take him.
by sabbath999 on Mar 17, 2009 2:58 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Crazy scenario
I do think most of those trades worked to the Bears advantage. But my buddy, also a Bears fan, threw out a crazy scenario. Haven’t looked to see if this even makes sense with any teams but I’m gonna say it any ways and its kinda what Sklz sd. Say we do trade back in the first round for a later 1st and another 2nd. then hope our comp pick is a 3rd and trade both 3rd’s for another second. We get a late first and three 2nd rounders. i know its a dream and J.A. couldn’t pull it off. But a little different approach then sklz. Grab DHB or your choice of reciever with the 1st, I’m sold on Louis Delmas as FS and honestly do think he would start by the end of the year. Hes the first 2nd rounder, then take your pick of the best o-line man and I say d-end. There should be a lot of talented guys left. Loadholt, maybe Beatty, Meredith, maybe we get lucky and Britton falls, but at least Tupou or Kropog, some road graders will be left. And at end, Barwin, maybe Michael Johnson, and he might be the best end in this draft, Ayers could fall, I like the Kruger kid, and the Richmond kid Sidbury wouldn’t be a bad last option. Any way I see the end position more urgent than interior o-line, if Kruetz gives out we have Beekman, Omiyale can fill a guard spot. But Wales a free agent after 2009, who knows if we can count on Anderson to fill the role and even A. Brown is getting old. And that’s really it at end. So it’s crazy I know but we could end up with four starters out of this draft. Sklz is right on with that, but at least we will have people in line to take the starters spots in 2010 and we’ve addressed the four biggest holes in the roster with at least 2nd round talent.
by Hurricanes becoming Bears on Mar 17, 2009 5:22 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
I wouldn't worry all that much about 2010
I don’t have a problem with any of your picks really, DHB is definately a boom or bust type player with a better than 50% of a boom. I rate Nicks only very slightly above Britt, and Britt only slightly above Robinskie. All of the S in the draft are a mess to my eyes, so your pick is as good as mine. I don’t have a huge issue with picking up a DE, but don’t let 2010 factor into it too much.
We’ve got a pretty large amount of cap room this year, and what doesn’t get spent on rookies will get spent on resigning players like Wale since we aren’t going after any FA it seems.
Also, I really really don’t want Beatty. Britton, great. Beatty. Nothx.
by Sklz711 on Mar 17, 2009 5:36 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Rationalization stinks
Sure, trading down makes sense sometimes, but when a franchise trades down 89 percent of the the time, that doesn’t exactly count as “sometimes.” That’s a trend, and this trend speaks to an inability to take risks at Halas Hall.
Are there any blue chips at 18? Not that I see. Not that any of you see. So yeah, if given the right offer, you could rationalize moving down. Again. But look at the history of picks we’ve netted: How many of them became anything other than depth prospects? How many of these “smart” moves netted us anything more than a low cap number?
But if you’re serious about “sometimes,” then when is trading up smart? I think it’s a lot smarter than we Bears fans tend to think. Bottom line: If you like a player, get him. Good lord, I’d rather have one Pro Bowler for four years than five special teamers for two years.
We need to pursue offensive line talent. We need better WRs (and I don’t see how trading down will net them). We need free safeties and fullbacks and linebackers. And the truth is, we won’t get all of them this year in the draft.
But what we really need is a great young franchise quarterback, and there happens to be one available — something that happens about once in a decade. We’ve got a decent young starter in Kyle Orton and a mid-round first we can offer in trade, and we should get about it right now. Not because we can spread out the risk and hope to get lucky, but because we make a talent evaluation and spot a unique opportunity and take a freaking risk.
I’m tired of my team fretting around in the shallow end of the pool. See the thing you want and go get it. Or go home.
And the prevailing wind happens to be blowing from Vichy.
by xarker on Mar 17, 2009 11:37 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
If we trade down 89 percent of the time and don't trade down this time...
That’s insanity. Most of the players we want and that would fit into our offense are absolutely abysmal value at 18. Phil Loadholt IMO is the number 2 RT in the draft. Duke is the number 1 run obliterating guard. Pretty much all the FS are ranked as second rounders.
Nicks/Britt/Robinskie were all originally 2nd rounders, and at least one of them should still be there in the late first, or second round.
What do we have, most of our holes filled by 2nd rounders that would either immediately start, or go have a better than 50/50 shot of winning in camp.
If this isn’t trading down with a reason, I don’t know what is.
by Sklz711 on Mar 18, 2009 7:34 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Depends on who's out there...
I don’t think trading back is a problem, within reason. If you move back a few spots because you think the guy you’re targetting will still be there, that’s fine. But trading too far down (like out of the first round) is a bad idea. I don’t care if the formula says your pick is worth an extra 2nd and 4th rounder; if the extra picks that you “gained” end up doing little more than taking up space (hey Danieal, pay attention!!!), then you’ve gained nothing and wasted another shot at talent. Obviously there’s no guarantee that a first rounder will pan out either (as we’re all painfully aware,) but the chances of missing in the later rounds goes up as you move down the talent ladder.
I don’t think Angelo is an idiot by any means, but I think he over-thinks things at times. He tries to be too clever and find the hidden-gem types like Briggs and Vasher. Unfortunately you end up with more Dan Bazuins than Alex Browns.
I agree with Xarker. I’m not usually big on trading up, but if there’s someone you want then go for it. Don’t mortgage your whole future, but you gotta take a shot once in a while.
A teacher in Milwaukee asked her 3rd grade class if they were all Packer fans. They all raised their hands except one little boy who said he was a
Bears fan. The teacher asked him why, and he replied that his parents were Bears fans. "Well that's no reason to like a team," snappped the teacher, a long time Green Bay fan. "What if your parents didn't know anything about football or they were just plain dumb?" The boy looked up at her and smiled. "Then obviously they'd be Packers fans."
by JerBear50 on Mar 18, 2009 12:10 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Great posts everybody
I especially like Sklz plan for the offense by trading back. As for trading up to get one player; that would be ideal if your team was a SB contender.
Overall, I’d say the past history of trading down hasn’t helped all that much. But each years team and every draft is different; and it makes sense to explore that idea this year.
by gillrowdy on Mar 19, 2009 12:27 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs

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