Weekly Musings from a Content Blogger (4/13)
I'll be honest: I had a hard time coming up with anything for this week's column before I settled on this idea. I could have reported on where Michael Vick is or how TO doesn't know what an OTA is, but that's a waste of time and energy for me and a boring read for you.
Instead, I'm breaking down the draft selections throughout Jerry's tenure (2002 - 2008). Time to settle some debates about Jerry's drafting!
I realize that there's a lot of numbers/info here, but I attempted to make this as thorough as possible.
Overall Picks
2008: 12 selections
2007: 9 selections
2006: 7 selections
2005: 6 selections
2004: 8 selections
2003: 12 selections
2002: 9 selections
Total: 63 selections
By Round
1st round: 7 selections
|
Year |
Player |
| 2008 | Chris Williams |
| 2007 | Greg Olsen |
| 2005 | Cedric Benson |
| 2004 | Tommie Harris |
| 2003 | Michael Haynes |
| 2003 | Rex Grossman |
| 2002 | Marc Colombo |
2nd round: 7 selections
| Year | Player |
| 2008 | Matt Forte |
| 2007 | Dan Bazuin |
| 2006 | Danieal Manning |
| 2006 | Devin Hester |
| 2005 | Mark Bradley |
| 2004 | Tank Johnson |
| 2003 | Charles Tillman |
3rd round: 9 selections
| Year | Player |
| 2008 | Earl Bennett |
| 2008 | Marcus Harrison |
| 2007 | Garrett Wolfe |
| 2007 | Michael Okwo |
| 2006 | Dusty Dvoracek |
| 2004 | Bernard Berrian |
| 2003 | Lance Briggs |
| 2002 | Roosevelt Williams |
| 2002 | Terrence Metcalf |
4th round: 9 selections
| Year | Player |
| 2008 | Craig Steltz |
| 2007 | Josh Beekman |
| 2006 | Jamar Williams |
| 2005 | Kyle Orton |
| 2004 | Nathan Vasher |
| 2004 | Leon Joe |
| 2003 | Todd Johnson |
| 2003 | Ian Scott |
| 2002 | Alex Brown |
5th round: 13 selections
| Year | Player |
| 2008 | Zackary Bowman |
| 2008 | Kellen Davis |
| 2007 | Kevin Payne |
| 2007 | Corey Graham |
| 2006 | Mark Anderson |
| 2005 | Airese Currie |
| 2004 | Claude Harriott |
| 2004 | Craig Krenzel |
| 2003 | Bobby Wade |
| 2003 | Justin Gage |
| 2003 | Tron Lafavor |
| 2002 | Bobby Gray |
| 2002 | Bryan Knight |
6th round: 8 selections
| Year | Player |
| 2006 | J.D. Runnels |
| 2006 | Tyler Reed |
| 2005 | Chris Harris |
| 2003 | Joe Odom |
| 2003 | Brock Forsey |
| 2002 | Adrian Peterson |
| 2002 | Jamin Elliott |
| 2002 | Bryan Fletcher |
7th round: 10 selections
| Year | Player |
| 2008 | Ervin Baldwin |
| 2008 | Chester Adams |
| 2008 | Joey LaRocque |
| 2008 | Kirk Barton |
| 2008 | Marcus Monk |
| 2007 | Trumaine McBride |
| 2007 | Aaron Brant |
| 2005 | Rod Wilson |
| 2004 | Alfonso Marshall |
| 2003 | Bryan Anderson |
Position by Round
1st: 2 OT's....DE....QB....DT....RB....TE
2nd: 2 DB's....2 WR's....DT....DE....RB
3rd: 2 WR's....2 LB's....2 DT's....OG....RB....DB
4th: 3 DB's....2 LB's....DE....DT....QB....OG
5th: 4 DB's....3 WR's....2 DE's....LB....DT....QB....TE
6th: 2 RB's....WR....TE....LB....DB....FB....OG
7th: 3 DB's....2 OT's....2 OG's....DE....LB....WR
Grouping by Round (Offense vs. Defense)
1st: 5 offense, 2 defense
2nd: 4 defense, 3 offense
3rd: 5 defense, 4 offense
4th: 7 defense, 2 offense
5th: 8 defense, 5 offense
6th: 6 offense, 2 defense
7th: 5 offense, 5 defense
By Position
QB: Three (4.7% of draft selections: 2003, 2004, 2005)
RB: Five (7.9% of draft selections: 2002, 2003, 2005, 2007, 2008)
FB: One (1.5% of draft selections: 2006)
WR: Nine (14.2% of draft selections: 2002, 2003, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2005, 2006, 2008, 2008)
TE: Three (4.7% of draft selections: 2002, 2007, 2008)
OT: Four (6.3% of draft selections: 2002, 2007, 2008, 2008)
OG: Five (7.9% of draft selections: 2002, 2003, 2006, 2007, 2008)
DT: Six (9.5% of draft selections: 2003, 2003, 2004, 2004, 2006, 2008)
DE: Six (9.5% of draft selections: 2002, 2003, 2004, 2006, 2007, 2008)
LB: Seven (11% of draft selections: 2002, 2003, 2003, 2004, 2006, 2007, 2008)
DB: Fourteen (22% of draft selections: 2002, 2002, 2003, 2003, 2004, 2004, 2005, 2005, 2006, 2007, 2007, 2007, 2008, 2008)
Draft Selections still on Bears by Position
QB: None = 0%
RB: 3 out of 5 = 60%
FB: None = 0%
WR: 2 out of 9 = 22%
TE: 2 out of 3 = 66.7%
OT: 1 out of 4 = 25%
OG: 2 out of 5 = 40%
DT: 3 out of 6 = 50%
DE: 3 out of 6 = 50%
LB: 3 out of 7 = 42.8%
DB: 8 out of 14 = 57%
FYI: I listed J.D. Runnels as a FB, Devin Hester as a WR, and Danieal Manning as a DB for the previous two sections.
Draft Selections Still on Bears or in NFL
Legend:
ACT - Active with NFL team
FA - Free Agent (I did not use UFA's not with a team as current NFL players)
R/O - Retired/Out of League
2008
- Still on Bears: 9 out of 12 selections = 75%
- Still in NFL: 10 out of 12 selections = 83%
| Year | Round | Player | Status | Team |
| 2008 | 1 | Chris Williams | ACT | Bears |
| 2 | Matt Forte | ACT | Bears | |
| 3 | Earl Bennett | ACT | Bears | |
| 3 | Marcus Harrison | ACT | Bears | |
| 4 | Craig Steltz | ACT | Bears | |
| 5 | Zackary Bowman | ACT | Bears | |
| 5 | Kellen Davis | ACT | Bears | |
| 7 | Ervin Baldwin | ACT | Bears | |
| 7 | Chester Adams | R/O | ||
| 7 | Joey LaRocque | ACT | Bears | |
| 7 | Kirk Barton | ACT | Bengals | |
| 7 | Marcus Monk | R/O |
2007
- Still on Bears: 6 out of 9 selections = 66.7%
- Still in NFL: 7 out of 9 selections = 77.7%
| Year | Round | Player | Status | Team |
| 2007 | 1 | Greg Olsen | ACT | Bears |
| 2 | Dan Bazuin | R/O | ||
| 3 | Garrett Wolfe | ACT | Bears | |
| 3 | Michael Okwo | ACT | Colts | |
| 4 | Josh Beekman | ACT | Bears | |
| 5 | Kevin Payne | ACT | Bears | |
| 5 | Corey Graham | ACT | Bears | |
| 7 | Trumaine McBride | ACT | Bears | |
| 7 | Aaron Brant | R/O |
2006
- Still on Bears: 6 out of 7 = 85.7%
- Still in NFL: 7 out of 7 = 100%
| Year | Round | Player | Status | Team |
| 2006 | 2 | Danieal Manning | ACT | Bears |
| 2 | Devin Hester | ACT | Bears | |
| 3 | Dusty Dvoracek | ACT | Bears | |
| 4 | Jamar Williams | ACT | Bears | |
| 5 | Mark Anderson | ACT | Bears | |
| 6 | J.D. Runnels | ACT | Bengals | |
| 6 | Tyler Reed | ACT | Bears |
2005
Still on Bears: 0 out of 6 = 0%
Still in NFL: 5 out of 6 = 83.3%
| Year | Round | Player | Status | Team |
| 2005 | 1 | Cedric Benson | ACT | Bengals |
| 2 | Mark Bradley | ACT | Chiefs | |
| 4 | Kyle Orton | ACT | Broncos | |
| 5 | Airese Currie | R/O | ||
| 6 | Chris Harris | ACT | Panthers | |
| 7 | Rod Wilson | ACT | Bucs |
2004
Still on Bears: 2 out of 8 = 25%
Still in NFL: 4 out of 8 = 50%
| Year | Round | Player | Status | Team |
| 2004 | 1 | Tommie Harris | ACT | Bears |
| 2 | Tank Johnson | ACT | Bengals | |
| 3 | Bernard Berrian | ACT | Vikings | |
| 4 | Nathan Vasher | ACT | Bears | |
| 4 | Leon Joe | R/O | ||
| 5 | Claude Harriott | R/O | ||
| 5 | Craig Krenzel | R/O | ||
| 7 | Alfonso Marshall | R/O |
2003
Still on Bears: 2 out of 12 = 16.7%
Still in NFL: 6 out of 12 = 50%
| Year | Round | Player | Status | Team |
| 2003 | 1 | Michael Haynes | R/O | |
| 1 | Rex Grossman | FA | ||
| 2 | Charles Tillman | ACT | Bears | |
| 3 | Lance Briggs | ACT | Bears | |
| 4 | Todd Johnson | ACT | Rams | |
| 4 | Ian Scott | ACT | Chargers | |
| 5 | Bobby Wade | ACT | Vikings | |
| 5 | Justin Gage | ACT | Titans | |
| 5 | Tron Lafavor | R/O | ||
| 6 | Joe Odom | R/O | ||
| 6 | Brock Forsey | R/O | ||
| 7 | Bryan Anderson | R/O |
2002
Still on Bears: 2 out of 9 = 22%
Still in NFL: 3 out of 9 = 33%
| Year | Round | Player | Status | Team |
| 2002 | 1 | Marc Colombo | ACT | Cowboys |
| 3 | Roosevelt Williams | R/O | ||
| 3 | Terrence Metcalf | FA | ||
| 4 | Alex Brown | ACT | Bears | |
| 5 | Bobby Gray | R/O | ||
| 5 | Bryan Knight | R/O | ||
| 6 | Adrian Peterson | ACT | Bears | |
| 6 | Jamin Elliot | R/O | ||
| 6 | Bryan Knight | R/O |
Total
Still on Bears: 27 out of 63 = 42.8% of draft selections are still on the Bears
Still in NFL: 42 out of 63 prospects = 66.7% of draft selections are still in the NFL
By School
Five selected: Florida
Four selected: Oklahoma
Three selected: Miami, Pittsburgh
Two selected: Arizona, Arkansas, Boston College, Louisiana-Monroe, Michigan State, Mississippi, Ohio State, Penn State, Purdue, Texas, Vanderbilt
One selected: Abilene Christian, Alabama, Arizona State, Boise State, Central Michigan, Clemson, Delaware, Fresno State, Georgia, Georgia Southern, Iowa State, Louisiana Tech, Louisiana-Lafayette, LSU, Maryland, Missouri, Nebraska, New Hampshire, Northern Illinois, Oregon State, South Carolina, Stanford, Tulane, Tuskegee, UCLA, Washington
By Conference
SEC: 15
Big 12: 9
Big 10: 8
ACC: 7
Pac 10: 7
Big East: 3
Sun Belt: 3
WAC: 3
CAA: 2
MAC: 2
Lone Star Conference (D-II): 1
Conference USA: 1
Southern: 1
Southern Intercollegiate (D-II): 1
Analysis
What does this tell me? Not a lot, but it does give some interesting insight as to how Jerry operates. Here's what I got out of it:
1. Maybe I was just oblivious, but I was surprised to see that we drafted a total of fourteen DB's and nine WR's during Jerry's tenure. I knew that we had drafted a lot at those two positions; I never thought it was that high.
2. Regardless of the first point, the two WR's that are still on the Bears are Devin Hester and Earl Bennett. Who knows how Earl will be. Mark Bradley, Justin Gage, Bobby Wade, and Bernard Berrian are enjoying careers elsewhere.
3. Yes, Jerry has picked up some good talent from small schools. But Jerry has drafted 49 players from major conferences (SEC to Big East), and only 14 players have been selected from the others. I had this impression that Jerry was a small-school draft raider, which is proven not to be the case.
4. It is disappointing (and somewhat indicative of the coaching staff IMO) to see that many of our selections aren't on the Bears, but are succeeding elsewhere in the league.
Enough of what I think. Anything surprise, worry, or excite you when you see these numbers?
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Comments
my own weekly musing
I’ve been so excited about Cutler I only recently realized how this might effect our drafting of Tebow … harumph
I applaud you
for your hard work. I’m actually impressed by the amount of Bears we’ve been able to obtain. Too bad that we couldn’t find some gems and keep them with all those WR selections. Percentage wise I think a lot of the selections in the 7th round are fodder since they’ll most likely fill a special teams role or no role at all. In turn it eleveates the number of DB and WR selected.
If things came easy, then everybody would be great at what they did, let's face it.
Mike Ditka
Catch Phrase of the day: YAAAAAAAY! <---- Courtesy of ChiFan13.
Because the internet is the best place to assault a religion and a country. Sir, if I ever meet you in the real world, expect a thorough beat down.- Special thanks to bs.uf15bosox9bears23
As much as we hate him
He isn’t a terrible drafter. His high percentage of guy still in the league is good. However I will still stop shy of calling a great or even good GM b/c a high percentage of those guys in the league are playing elsewhere which says 1 of 2 things: 1) Either JA is bad at evaluating/deciding which guys are good enough to stay and make an impact w/ the Bears or 2) JA’s coaches are poor at evaluating the talent and JA is not good at convincing them that these guys are worth sticking around.
Lets face it, Wade and Gage are not all-pros but they are serviceable WRs and I think we would feel better if they were still around now. Well actually the more I think about it, the more I remember Gage fumbling and Wade muffing punts and dropping balls so maybe that is a terrible idea….
by Sam Householder on Apr 13, 2009 10:53 AM CDT reply actions
WR
JA has completely failed in this area, not only drafting them but also letting decent starters go elsewhere. Some of it falls on the coaching staff for not developing these players, but most go to Jerry for not re-signing or accurately placing a value on them.
"I'm not so mean. I wouldn't ever go out to hurt anybody deliberately - unless it was, you know, important, like a league game or something." - Dick Butkus
Great research on your post!
Very detailed and easy to read, with plenty of information for conclusive deductions.
"I'm not so mean. I wouldn't ever go out to hurt anybody deliberately - unless it was, you know, important, like a league game or something." - Dick Butkus
I knew he drafted a lot of CBs
I would have guessed a higher number, but I had no idea he drafted 9 WRs. The next question is why he has drafted 5 in the 4th or later when he clearly isn’t getting any to stick.
Being Who You Thought We Were Since 2005!
Good information.
It would be interesting to see what other GMs stats look like for a comparison. I liked all of the info, but without any real frame of reference I have no idea what it all means.
by ThisIsJustBanter on Apr 13, 2009 11:36 AM CDT reply actions
further breakdown
Off of the information you’ve given us, they have drafted 30 offensive players (10 still with the Bears, 8 in the league, & 2 Free Agents) and 33 defensive player (17 still with the Bears, 6 in the league). That would indicate that we do a poor job of developing offensive players on the Bears, since 1/3 of the offensive players we selected are still playing, or will be playing, for someone else. It also could say that we stick with our defensive players longer since over half of those players are still with the team. As was mentioned by someone else, it would be interesting to see how we stack up against the drafting records of other teams. I’m not a big fan of the coaching staff and their ability to develop or identify talent. I feel that we have had too many “non-NFL experience” coaches in the past working with the younger players. It will be interesting to see what the changes to this year’s staff will bring in the way of player development. Am I incorrect in saying that Ron Rivera was the only coach that Lovie has had on his staff that actually had any meaningful playing/coaching experience at the NFL level prior to coming to the Bears?
I would say Marinelli this year
But your point is well taken.
Maybe what I’ll do is break down the Lions and Patriots with my next two columns.
I'M A MAN! I'M 22!
Turner
He was an OC before he came back. Admittedly, it was just with us, but still technically qualifies.
Offensive coaching
The first two years of offense were wasted on Jon Shoop and Terry Shea.
That’s almost 30% of Angelo’s tenure and skews the offense vs. defense coaching statistics somewhat. Excepting AP and Columbo (IMO) those offensive drafts were total offensive busts (pun very much intended).
Since 05 the offensive drafts appear much better…or maybe more consistent. Maybe that’s Ron Turner, maybe thats Angelo learning. Maybe both.
Ugh, remembering the Jon Shoop and Terry Shea “eras”…I just threw up in my mouth.
Context
I like the idea of the post, but unfortunately it’s not worth much without doing the same to all teams. Right now, you have interesting numbers, but you don’t know what the baseline average is, so I don’t know how to interpret them.
Take the small school numbers point—you said he’s only drafted 14 out of 63 players from small schools, and that that isn’t much. But what is the actual rate that small school players get drafted at? I have no idea. Maybe 14/63=22% is way above average.
It’s like if you knew nothing about baseball, and someone told you that a player hit .300 without telling you anything else. That sounds awful—less than 1 in 3! But it’s actually quite good.
Yahoo Sports look back at the 2006 1st round draft and how well they’ve done in the league since. To be fair to JA, as some have pointed out, it appears very much to be something of a lottery.

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