Larry Mayer's chalk talk breaks down the trade between Chicago and Denver in terms of the numeric point system. Looking at the values between Cutler (doesn't include the 5th rounder in return) vs. Orton plus draft picks, clearly show the Bears came out ahead of the Broncos based on Cutler's pro-bowl ability, and seemingly #1 pick overall status. Here's my calculation of the total points for both teams, and quote from Larry showing his seal of approval.
Plus I’d much rather have a proven commodity who still has upside and can get better like Cutler than rely on unknowns in the draft. The money under the salary cap the Bears will save by not paying two first-round picks is also a huge positive moving forward.
Bears - 3000 points (Cutler as the overall #1 pick in this year's draft)
Broncos - 2,340 points. 900 points for this year's 18th pick, 170 for 84th pick overall, and 850 for next year's #1 pick, which I estimated to be the 20th pick overall (Bears making the playoffs as the worst wild card team). As far as Orton, it's difficult to determine where he would go in this months draft. I'd determine he'd be worth at least a middle second round pick. That would give Denver an additional 420 points for Neckbeard.
Thus, through my eyes as well as Mayer's, the Bears got the better of this deal. What does everyone think?