By The Numbers: Bears Receivers
Based on all that was stated in the off-season, one would think the Bears have one of the worst receiving corps in all of the NFL. However, based on the numbers through the first three games of the season, the Bears receiving corps is one of the top 10 receiver groups in the entire league.
Let's first look at what they have done so far. Devin Hester has 187 yards and 2 TD's. Earl Bennett has 168 yards and 0 TD's. Johnny Knox has 159 yards and 2 TD's.
This puts them on pace for:
Hester -- 997 receiving yards, Bennett -- 896 receiving yard, Knox -- 848 receiving yards.
Olsen and Forte are on pace for 496 and 315 receiving yards respectively.
Also, Knox and Hester and are tied for second in the league with 2 TD's a piece, behind only Marques Colston of New Orleans.
Terrell Owens had zero catches while playing the entire game against New Orleans. In fact, he only has 5 total receptions and 98 yards and 1 TD. So, if the Bears don't have a "Number One" receiver then what is TO? Does potential talent make somebody a number one wide receiver? Does current production make them a number one wide receiver? Or does past production make someone a number one wide receiver?
Based on last years end-of-year stats, Devin Hester's pace for this year would put him ahead of guys like Eddie Royal, Bernard Berrian, DeSean Jackson, and T.J. WhosYourMomma. In fact, on receiving yards alone, Hester is ahead of Tim Hightower, Larry Fitzgerald, Anquan Boldin, and Steve Breaston. Tim Hightower actually leads Arizona in receptions with 20.
I know this is all through 3 games, but I find it hard to believe that receivers make the QB, rather than vice versa. If the receiver did make the QB, then why did TO have ZERO receptions? Why does he have only 5 receptions on the year? Better yet, why are Knox, Bennett and Hester all on pace to have about 850 or better receiving yards? Why are Hester and Knox just a TD away from the league lead?
All of this tells me that Jay Cutler is making our WR's look a heck of a lot better than they would with someone else as the QB. And we have played 3 really tough defenses so far. Seattle had given up just 23 points in two games before the Bears came into THEIR HOUSE and put up 25 in one game. Pittsburgh is no pushover on defense either, even with Polamalu out. And Green Bay looks at the very least, to be a solid defensive unit.
Remember folks, we still have games against the Rams, 49ers, Browns, Cardinals, Falcons, and Lions (2x). All of those teams are in the bottom half of the league in passing yards allowed. Both the cardinals and the Lions give up around 280 yards a game.
By contrast, the Seahawks have allowed only 175.3 passing yards per game, the Packers have allowed 207 passing yards per game, and the Steelers have allowed 212.7 passing yards per game.
Against those teams Cutler has thrown for 277 (at Green Bay), 236 (vs. Pittsburgh), and 247 (at Seattle).
So, in two of those games Cutler threw for more than 70 yards better than what the teams have allowed on average.
It is a small sample size, especially with the Bears equating for one third of the the numbers against those teams, but if anything that plays into the Bears favor statistically because those teams are even better when you don't include the above average passing yards the Bears put up on those teams.
All in all, the Bears receiving corps seems to be in the top half of the league stat-wise, and I see them only getting better as the season goes on. Cutler also has yet to throw against some of the shoddier defenses in the league.
This FanPost was written by a Windy City Gridiron member, and does not necessarily reflect the ideas or opinions of its staff or community.
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Nice write up,
albeit the QB making the WR and vice versa argument is a bit tiresome. I like the stats-digging you did. Nice work.
But to TO’s credit, he is in an offense right now that is in absolute shambles. They fired their OC a week before the regular season kicked off, and they have finished no higher than 25th in each of the last 6 seasons in offensive yards.
Be nice. Flag comments that you think are offensive. Use the "reply" button. Drink plenty of water. Compliment others. Rec (wreck) comments and posts you like. Don't call people names. If you don't like someone's comment, attack the comment and not the commentor. Learn the difference in your/you're, then/than, to/too. Exercise. Relax. Stretch often. Find good in the world.
Just because it can be done on Madden NFL does not automatically make it a viable option in real life.
The argument is tiresome
but I do agree that the QB makes the receiver… most of the time. People make a big fuss out of legitimate “#1 receivers”, but I think that’s nonsense in most cases. In my opinion, there are only a handful of ridiculous, make-any-QB-look-good receivers: Fitzgerald, Andre Johnson, Steve Smith. That’s not to say there aren’t other elite receivers out there. I’m just saying I’m glad the Bears didn’t mortgage their future to go after somebody like Boldin who wouldn’t have made much a difference anyways.
Bear Down, Chicago Bears!
and Steve Smith
is having an awful hard time make Delhomme look good this season.
I’m with you, are WR are fine so far, and it didnt cost us a first round pick 3 years from now
"I'm sorry Josh, I'm with Chicago now, you need to stop calling me" -JerBear50 as Jay Cutler
by BearNecessities on Sep 28, 2009 2:23 PM CDT up reply actions
earl bennett is looking really good
he has great hands and his speed is underated and devin hester is becoming more and more complete hes not just running go routes any more that slant to win the game was beautiful it was ALL HANDS and johnny knox has a nose for the endzone and its a matter of time folks before olsen breaks out actually it could be this week
Using this 3-game extrapolation then
Cutler is on a pace for about a 4000 yard season. That sounds about right to me, given his talent. Not quite what he did in Denver last year, but I don’t think anyone was expecting +4500 in his first year here given what the receiving talent was perceived to be. Yeah, 4000 yds, I think we can take that, being a new Bears record and all :)
So I think it is more about Cutler making the receivers rather than the other way around. Of course, it’s a symbiotic relationship, the Bears’ ball catchers have been making some great plays in there, too. I’m glad to see Orton doing well with the Broncos, but let’s face it, no way he could put those kind of numbers up here whatever improvement Hester or the others have made.
I thought I was on the fo'c'sle of a TRAMP STEAMER! --John Drummond
by fo'c'sle of a tramp steamer on Sep 28, 2009 3:17 PM CDT reply actions
it would be great
if we could get a QB to consistently throw for over 3,000 yards and 20 touchdowns, that would probably have a significant impact on our W/L ratio.
"I'm sorry Josh, I'm with Chicago now, you need to stop calling me" -JerBear50 as Jay Cutler
by BearNecessities on Sep 28, 2009 3:50 PM CDT up reply actions
Three game extrapolations are silly
Do you believe Brees will throw 70 TD passes this year?
I always turn to the sports section first. The sports page records people's accomplishments; the front page has nothing but man's failures.
~Earl Warren
by lookingdeadred on Sep 28, 2009 5:44 PM CDT up reply actions
Yes.
And Antwan Odom will have 37.333 sacks.
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"Newbie, if the next two words out of your mouth aren't 'See ya' then the third word will be 'Oh my god. My crotch. You've punched me in my crotch." - Dr. Percival Ulysses Cox
by David Taylor on Sep 28, 2009 6:07 PM CDT up reply actions
If anybody could, it would be him
"I'm sorry Josh, I'm with Chicago now, you need to stop calling me" -JerBear50 as Jay Cutler
by BearNecessities on Sep 28, 2009 6:09 PM CDT up reply actions
...or Jamarcus Russell!
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"Newbie, if the next two words out of your mouth aren't 'See ya' then the third word will be 'Oh my god. My crotch. You've punched me in my crotch." - Dr. Percival Ulysses Cox
by David Taylor on Sep 28, 2009 6:19 PM CDT up reply actions
oh totally
League MVP this year
"I'm sorry Josh, I'm with Chicago now, you need to stop calling me" -JerBear50 as Jay Cutler
by BearNecessities on Sep 28, 2009 6:34 PM CDT up reply actions
What about 4 game extrapolations?
or 5, 6, or 7?
when is an extrapolation deemed un ‘silly’ ?
"I'm sorry Josh, I'm with Chicago now, you need to stop calling me" -JerBear50 as Jay Cutler
by BearNecessities on Sep 28, 2009 6:35 PM CDT up reply actions
Do you think Brees will throw 70 TD passes?
Do you think the Jets will go unbeaten?
3 game extrapolations are fool’s gold.
I always turn to the sports section first. The sports page records people's accomplishments; the front page has nothing but man's failures.
~Earl Warren
by lookingdeadred on Sep 29, 2009 2:03 PM CDT up reply actions
That point already being established, and not withstanding
when can one start to to gather information to amass a track record, or a “things to come” without being fool’s gold, or silly?
"I'm sorry Josh, I'm with Chicago now, you need to stop calling me" -JerBear50 as Jay Cutler
by BearNecessities on Sep 29, 2009 2:36 PM CDT up reply actions
I'm not sure, but if you take the last two posts from lookingdeadred and extrapolate it out
it means he’ll never answer your question.
How about you explain to us the wisdom/accuracy
of extrapolating after three games? I anxiously await your post.
I always turn to the sports section first. The sports page records people's accomplishments; the front page has nothing but man's failures.
~Earl Warren
by lookingdeadred on Sep 30, 2009 11:01 AM CDT up reply actions
The point was he asked you the question twice and didn't get an answer....
personally, I think too much is made of speculation and forecasting (God knows I get enough of that crap at work). The NFL, more than any other sport is difficult to judge due to the probability of injuries to key players. While injuries can happen in any sport, football is almost designed to hurt people so the fortunes of any team can change from week to week.
That aside, since corporate America speculates on a quarterly basis fairly regularly, and Lovie breaks his season down to quarters, it seems that wouldn’t be a bad way to look at it.
corporate America looks at quarterly numbers of course,
but they usually compare them to the numbers from the same quarter in previous years, not quarter to quarter. For example they compare Q3 of FY2009 with Q3 of FY2008, FY2007 etc, instead of comparing Q3 FY2009 with Q2 FY2009.
Yes, patterns can be seen to emerge from small sample sizes (three games of a NFL season), but it is extremely unrealistic to expect most patterns seen so far to continue at the same rate.
I always turn to the sports section first. The sports page records people's accomplishments; the front page has nothing but man's failures.
~Earl Warren
by lookingdeadred on Sep 30, 2009 12:06 PM CDT up reply actions
half a season seems fair
If you extrapoltaed Rex Grossman’s season numbers from the first month of his Super Bowl season, he would look like an all pro. In fact many were calling him a potential league MVP. How did that turn out?
I always turn to the sports section first. The sports page records people's accomplishments; the front page has nothing but man's failures.
~Earl Warren
by lookingdeadred on Sep 30, 2009 11:00 AM CDT up reply actions
you still haven't answered the question
to which, your non answer will be defined, as “never” being your final response for when an extrapolation can be considered “ok” in your book of wisdom.
"I'm sorry Josh, I'm with Chicago now, you need to stop calling me" -JerBear50 as Jay Cutler
by BearNecessities on Sep 30, 2009 12:22 PM CDT up reply actions
what part of half a season do you not grasp?
Are you playing dumb or are you just dumb bearnecessities?
I always turn to the sports section first. The sports page records people's accomplishments; the front page has nothing but man's failures.
~Earl Warren
by lookingdeadred on Sep 30, 2009 1:09 PM CDT up reply actions
I guess i simply tired
from you giving the extrapolation run around
"I'm sorry Josh, I'm with Chicago now, you need to stop calling me" -JerBear50 as Jay Cutler
by BearNecessities on Sep 30, 2009 2:14 PM CDT up reply actions
You asked and I responded "half a season seems fair"
so how is that giving the run around. Not giving you the answer you want to hear is not giving you the run around. If you want to believe you can make accurate extrapolations based on three games, fine, but don’t get all hurt when others think it is dumb.
I always turn to the sports section first. The sports page records people's accomplishments; the front page has nothing but man's failures.
~Earl Warren
by lookingdeadred on Sep 30, 2009 5:16 PM CDT up reply actions
I'm going to pistol whip the next person who
uses extrapolation….
You can't believe everything you read on the internet, that's how World War One got started.

Be nice. Flag comments that you think are offensive. Use the "reply" button. Drink plenty of water. Compliment others. Rec (wreck) comments and posts you like. Don't call people names. If you don't like someone's comment, attack the comment and not the commentor. Learn the difference in your/you're, then/than, to/too. Exercise. Relax. Stretch often. Find good in the world.
Just because it can be done on Madden NFL does not automatically make it a viable option in real life.
Work blocked.... :(
You can't believe everything you read on the internet, that's how World War One got started.
I would extrapolate from your post that
you have issues witht the word extrapolation
I always turn to the sports section first. The sports page records people's accomplishments; the front page has nothing but man's failures.
~Earl Warren
by lookingdeadred on Oct 1, 2009 11:34 AM CDT up reply actions
I'm warning you....

You can't believe everything you read on the internet, that's how World War One got started.
by Ditkavsworld on Oct 1, 2009 12:23 PM CDT up reply actions
hes got 9 tds
avgs to 3 a game over 16 puts him at 48
70 exaggerating?
by Bear Lovin 21 on Oct 1, 2009 10:38 PM CDT up reply actions
The WR's will only get better in time
I’m impressed with Hester so far, he’s making tough catches
by Lester A. Wiltfong Jr. on Sep 28, 2009 3:33 PM CDT reply actions
Agreed..
I previously thought Earl Bennett would become our “#1” receiver as the year progressed. But Hester is performing much better than I had expected. Perhaps none of our top 3 receivers emerge as the “#1” target and, if that’s the case, I’d be alright with that. It would keep other teams on their toes.
Bear Down, Chicago Bears!
by topdoggkyle on Sep 29, 2009 11:37 AM CDT up reply actions
A couple of points ....
Terrell Owens was playing against one of the very best defense in the NFL in the Saints. Yes, the Saints. Check the stats for those boys this year. The 49ers have one of the best secondaries in the NFL, regardless of their stats so far – they have faced Kurt Warner, Matt Hasselbeck and Brett Favre and some of the best receivers in the NFL – so the NIners will be a challenge along with Patrick Willis.
Brandon Marshall and Eddie Royal are suffering big time with their game managing weak-armed QB. It is beyond obvious that the QB makes the WR look better. A great WR cannot rifle the ball into their hands, can they ?
by Irish Bears Fan on Sep 29, 2009 3:46 AM CDT reply actions
Something to keep in mind with the Cardinals
In the 49ers and Colts games the O-Line played like crap, and especially in the 49ers game Warner only had the time to dump it off to Hightower when the 49ers got a 4 man rush breaking through the O-Line and the rest of the defense was covering the Receivers.

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