Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Pro Quality. Fan Perspective.
Login-facebook
Around SBN: NFL Players Ready To Welcome Gay Teammate

Random Stat of the Day- Let's Spin Away From the Bears Wins

We can always take a set of statistics and spin them in any particular direction we desire, and for the sake of this post, let's take a more morose look at the 4 wins the Chicago Bears have achieved this season. Our opponents' records through 5 weeks:

vs Lions: 1-4

@ Cowboys: 1-3

vs Packers: 3-2

@ Panthers: 0-5

That means the Bears wins so far in 2010 have been over teams with a combined 5-14 record.  And 75% of our wins have come over teams with a 2-12 record.

Star-divide

Also, during those wins, the Bears are 13/49 on 3rd down conversion attempts, or 26.5% successful.  Add in the game against the Giants (0/13 on 3rd down) we come out to a whopping 13/62 on 3rd downs this season, or 20.9% success.  That is dead last in the NFL, and would still be dead last if we remove the loss in New York.

Looking at the upcoming schedule, we play the Seahawks (2-2), the Redskins (3-2), the Bills (0-5), and the Vikings (1-3)... or teams with a combined record of 6-12.

Spinning the stats this way, what are your thoughts?  Are we currently benefitting from a cupcake schedule?

Comment 30 comments  |  0 recs  | 

Do you like this story?

Comments

Display:

We need to remember the big play ability of the offense

week 1- 89 yard catch and run by forte
week 2 dallas- olsen 39 yard td catch and run
week 2 dallas- knox 50 yard catch
week 3- knox had a 30 yarder i beleive
week 5- the matt forte show

so i think that kind of explains why we get away with a horrned 3rd down percentage and dont even get me started one the woes at the 1 yard line

by Bear Lovin 21 on Oct 12, 2010 11:00 AM CDT reply actions  

also

week 3- Devin Hester.

Not the offense, I know, but still. Big play potential.

"I want to be that guy. I want to be the reason the Bulls are back."- Derrick Rose.
"I'm never leaving Chicago."- Derrick Rose

by Cosmis on Oct 12, 2010 11:14 PM CDT up reply actions  

Unfortunately

I’m of the mind that we are. That being said, I see a lot of potential in this team. I am hoping that we use this early schedule to become cohesive and prepared for the latter part of the schedule. I honestly think Washington is going to be our toughest test yet. If we can get some momentem going with us though, we can probably pull out the title in what could end up being a closer division than most of us have anticipated.

Colt's fan friend - "This is our dog, we named her after Peyton Manning."

Boondocksaints812 - "You named her Bitch?!? Did you train her to lie down when you run towards her too?"

by Acydikeen on Oct 12, 2010 11:03 AM CDT reply actions  

Let's face it...

it all stems from the bad O-line play. If they can get their act together and get a semblance of continuity, the offense will also be more consistent. The defense has shown they can hold their own and come up with timely stops and turnovers. If the offense can start by taking care of the football and build on the big play ability to include some “small” plays that move the chains, this could be a playoff winning team.

IT'S NOT TOO LATE TO TRADE TOMMIE!...

by LostInSTL on Oct 12, 2010 11:32 AM CDT reply actions  

Yes the schedule may look like it was bad up to this point

but consider the fact that the Cowboys have just one win, when they were supposedly being considered Super Bowl contenders at the beginning of the year. Nobody really expected them to be as bad as they are right now. Also, while Carolina may have not been great either way, I don’t think people figured they would be winless at this point.
Anyways, yes the schedule appears as if it has been weak but in the end a win is a win and the Bears have 4 of them in 5 games.
And I don’t think anybody expected that to happen when the schedules initially came out.
From the looks of it as well the Bears as a team still haven’t played their best football, so if they can play to their full potential they will be a scary team.
Good teams win the games they are supposed to win and so far the Bears have done that and more, no matter what those teams records is now or how we won.
In the end the Bears are still tied for the best record in the conference and are in control of the division.

by dizzycubs on Oct 12, 2010 11:33 AM CDT reply actions  

You can only play the teams on your schedule.

People always try to analyze strength of schedule but at the end of the day we played 5 games and won 4 of them and that is all that matters. With the way parity is in the league any team can lose to any team (See: bucs over bengals, cards over saints, redskins over packers, and the chiefs are 3-1). We may be an ugly 4-1 but it’s still 4-1.

"I always tell people I want to live to be 150 and they say why would you want to do that. I say, well there's a few people I haven't made mad yet, I want to get them. "
-Mike Ditka

by garyfencikrapping on Oct 12, 2010 11:35 AM CDT reply actions  

And yet

the cowboys, packers, and vikings (a team they have not played yet but are 1 – 3) are all going to the playoffs and the Bears are not…..Well according to various ESPN “NFL experts”……Ah well…..

Ye though I walk through the valley of the shadow of death, I shall fear no evil....

- Todd Collins thought process on starting this Sunday behind the offensive line

by CloudyFuture on Oct 12, 2010 11:39 AM CDT reply actions  

You are forgetting...

The 49er’s….but that is according to them….and only them.

by I Have Bearsititis on Oct 12, 2010 4:37 PM CDT up reply actions  

But

The Bears account for 25% of all Lions losses, 33% of the Cowboys, 50% of the Packers, and even 20% of the Panthers losses. I thin it’s too early to start reading much into statistics like those.

Don't worry Boys, we'll weather this storm of approval, and come out as hated as ever.

by BabylonDon on Oct 12, 2010 12:04 PM CDT reply actions  

This is why

looking at the strength of schedule even before the season starts is worthless. Dallas is obviously much better than their 1-3 record.

"How do you know somebody is great? When you see how they respond to adversity. Anybody can man a ship when the waters are calm." - Jerry Angelo

by propheteer on Oct 12, 2010 12:23 PM CDT reply actions  

12-4 North Champs.

David Taylor's personal hype man. Check out his website unless you're a loser. http://www.cheekymonkeyart.com/

by Ditkavsworld on Oct 12, 2010 12:25 PM CDT reply actions  

Are we currently benefitting from a cupcake schedule?

Jimmy Crack Corn…

One time while a young lad, someone made fun of the Ditka name. One time.

by Lester A. Wiltfong Jr. on Oct 12, 2010 12:30 PM CDT reply actions   1 recs

Atta Boy.

David Taylor's personal hype man. Check out his website unless you're a loser. http://www.cheekymonkeyart.com/

by Ditkavsworld on Oct 12, 2010 2:34 PM CDT up reply actions  

We're a good team.

How good?….. remains to be answered.

I know our defense is as good as any in the league.

I know our offense has shown promise and shown imploding characteristics (mostly because of the offensive line). While I don’t believe this current O-line will be a strength of this team, I do think they can be at least average. With Cutler’s mobility and Martz’s reality check this past week, maybe that’s all our O-line needs to be (to be a winner).

Right now, I say we’re top 3 in the NFC. With the Falcon’s slightly ahead of us and the Giants fairly even, maybe a touch better as well. Again, not much separating these 3 NFC teams.

And to the point of who we’ve played.

Lions have been competitive in all their games. They’re the #1 scoring team in the NFC and have actually outscored their opponents this year by 14 points. They’re not bad.

Cowboys lead the NFC in yards gained and are 4th in yards allowed. Btw, we beat them at Dallas in a game in which nobody gave the Bears a chance. The one Cowboy win came at Houston. Last time a checked, Houston was looking like a contender…

Packers are 3-2. They’re a good football team, with great offensive & defensive personnel and we beat them.

At Carolina was a hostile environment (Peppers factor). The Bears came in without their starting QB.

The dude that did start had 4 interceptions. Was 6-16 for 32 yards, with a 6.2 QB rating.
Despite this awful performance, the Bears won on the road going away 23-6. THAT my friends, is a trademark of a good football team. Especially considering there hadn’t been a running game to speak of prior…

So we’re good. Got some things to work on and thats OK. No ones perfect, especially in the NFC. And we only have to be the best, in the NFC.

by rdent4hof on Oct 12, 2010 12:51 PM CDT reply actions  

WAAAAAAAAAAAY 2 soon to tell.

Like most teams, the Bears show flashes of brilliance. Abruptly followed by unbelievable ineptitude. But then followed up by more brilliance and tremendous effort. So they win.

So far this season it’s looked to me more like which team can stay more focused and not give the game away through mistakes. Parity in the league and all (smirks).

D and ST are solid, like we usually are. Those units cause other teams to make mistakes.

We have not yet had a dominating performance – I am eagerly awaiting this very thing.

The game against the Giants flashed our lace jockstraps to the world. More than anything, our OL scares the hell out of me as a fan. They will get Cutler seriously injured (yeah, I just threw up a little) unless they step it up 10 notches. Without Cutler our offense is nearly toothless. It seems our O is merely a house of cards, sad to say.

If Jerry Angelo would remember just ONE thing – “Great Players make great plays”.

If you don't ask, you don't get. So get on with it already.

by Suffering from Chicago Sports on Oct 12, 2010 1:03 PM CDT reply actions  

This is exactly why statistics without perspective is a fool's downfall.

The vast majority or the analysts look at box scores and highlights, but they never actually watch the games. Too many games for them to actually analyze and break down. They just parrot each other. I hope it continues, it just fuels the fire in the locker room.

by BigGeorgeTX on Oct 12, 2010 1:50 PM CDT reply actions  

Wins

The CRITICS, have all decided GB, Minn, Cowgirls and Panthers WERE the potential winners this year. AT the beginning of the season even I thought the Bears were in for a long season. So much for the smart guys at NFL.com and ESPN. They suck. I picked more winners than they did and I’m stupid. That’s why they play the games. I can see GB, Minn. and The other two losers sitting home and watching the playoffs. The Bear’s schedule was considered hard at the beginning of the season but because they won 4 games now it is a cakewalk. It’s not their fault those teams suck they just took advantage except for Giants game. Even N.O. is down this year. Beware the Jets in the Super bowl, and I thank them for beating the Vikes.

by ArthurAZ on Oct 12, 2010 1:55 PM CDT reply actions  

Losses

I can see the bears with at least 6 losses unless the offensive line plays like a team. The Bears line is practicing for the Good teams,but needs more time(that they don’t have). I think they play the Jets and I expect them to have a rough time there. A split with MInnehaha, GB and Detroit and???. It should be enough to get into the playoffs and after that who knows. It depends on the match ups and O-Line. Go Bears

by ArthurAZ on Oct 12, 2010 2:07 PM CDT reply actions  

YES !! We are definately benefitting from a cupcake schedule.

and its a good thing, the game against Detroit underlined the fact that this team was not ready coming out of the preseason. For 90% of the Dallas game we were outplayed but this team showed its big play potential. The Green Bay game we were very fortunate, but dispite all the fans who can’t post anything without calling for Lovie’s firing the team was well prepared and showed discipline where GB lost its cool argo all the penalties. Against NY we were badly exposed, a lot of people on this site were quick to place considerable blame on Culler for sacks saying he was holding the ball too long and not making his hot reads etc. however no one pointed out that with the pocket collapsing so
qickly he would have a lot of trouble seeing through his and their linemen. TV coverage really didn’t show how or what his recievers were doing. Blame Martz. Carolina is one of the worst teams in the NFL take away a couple of great runs by Forte and we played pretty much at the same level they did. The good news in all of this is our defense has played good all year, but they are not going to win games for us the way the Steelers D has done for them, but our D will keep us in the game and come up with some take aways to give our O a chance to win the game for us. Our O is struggling and not just the O line. They have time to get it all together before the schedule gets tough lets hope they do.

by 62bearsthe best on Oct 12, 2010 2:12 PM CDT reply actions  

Schedule

My point is that at the beginning of the year the Bear’s schedule was considered fairly difficult. Maybe 8-8 or 9-7. Now because they beat teams that they weren’t supposed to, The schedule is weak. So be it.(they could still be 8-8 or 9-7 if they have a fee games more like N.Y. game. The calls could go against them instead of for them.

by ArthurAZ on Oct 12, 2010 2:26 PM CDT reply actions  

I think the analysts are pissed...

They based their ‘findings’ on preseason and it didnt amount to squat.

I think we can beat GB again…yes…on their turf, I know we can beat MN at home (heck we beat them in MN last year), we can beat Lions. The only games that concern me are Jets, Pats and Fish… we have to play better each game and get that OL together and protecting our QB!!!!

Our defense is playing so well, ST is kicking butt….GO BEARS!!!!

"Yes, risk taking is inherently failure-prone. Otherwise, it would be called sure-thing-taking." - Jim McMahon

by bearsfn9 on Oct 12, 2010 2:27 PM CDT reply actions  

help is needed.

Let’s not forget about Redskins!!!

by ArthurAZ on Oct 12, 2010 2:37 PM CDT reply actions  

Yeah...Redskins and Eagles could go either way really...depends on both teams play...that day!!

"Yes, risk taking is inherently failure-prone. Otherwise, it would be called sure-thing-taking." - Jim McMahon

by bearsfn9 on Oct 12, 2010 2:43 PM CDT up reply actions  

We won

It isn’t the Bears fault that they faced teams with bad records. I would be perfectly fine with having to face easy teams all the way through as long as we win.

by DaHamsta on Oct 12, 2010 3:30 PM CDT reply actions  

p.s. at 4-1 they are tied for first overall in the NFL and assuming we handle business with Seattle and (Big and) Washington we can go to the bye week assured of the best overall mark. I expect Pitt to keep rolling there may be as many as five one loss clubs going into the bye week. Then we come back with a Canadian road trip to the Bills and welcome the Favre circus to town potential to be gasp 8-1 after ten weeks!

by KristianJPetersen on Oct 12, 2010 8:36 PM CDT reply actions  

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

Windy City Gridiron is the best independent site on the internet for breaking news, in-depth analysis, and hardcore discussion about the Chicago Bears

Community Guidelines

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recommended FanPosts

Images_small
*A Modest Proposal

Recent FanPosts

Images-8_small
Yahoo Fantasy Football Update
Small
We may not know DT Nate Collins but the Chicago Bears do.
029_small
Is it time for a contract? Oh no, not another Matt Forte post...
Burlacher2_small
Is Winning Games a Specialty?
Burlacher2_small
Apparently, Defense Wins Championships...
Fox_small
Bad start for AJ Jenkins
Burlacher2_small
What's It Take to Win?
Jay_cutler_small
My Analysis and Grading of Phil Emery's 1st Off-Season as Bears' GM
Small
Will Cutler take the throne or is the bar set to high?

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >


Managers

Windycity_small Adam T

189886_210123485665309_100000029768895_888721_5830650_n__1__small Dane Noble

Editors

Sackwatchcutler_small Lester A. Wiltfong Jr.

535321_3734130120778_1501804679_3253247_588486681_n_small David Taylor

Orange_shy_guy_small Steven Schweickert

Capture_small Kev H

Contributing Writers

Lincoln_small Sam Householder

Leprechaun_small Spongie

Polishsausage_small Steve Ronkowski

Icothgmts_small T.J. Shouse

Joe_20mantegna-bill_20swerski_small Superfans

P981d5c2_reasonably_small_small DaveGilbertNFL