Peyton Manning and Jay Cutler
Cutler is no Manning - let's make that clear right off the bat. But Manning's struggles the last three games are illustrative of an important point.
Manning did not all of a sudden forget how to play football. What is different now is that he's getting pressured more than he ever was previously and he has no talent at wideout (sound familiar?). It doesn't matter how good a QB is, in that type of situation, he's forced to throw the ball just a mite sooner than he would have liked to, and his receivers are just a little bit less open than they would have been. In a precision league that's a dangerous combination.
Receivers don't run the right routes, and the ball gets picked; receivers are just slightly off of where they should be and the ball gets picked; or they're just more tightly covered and the QB is forced to squeeze it in dangerously, throw it somewhere else, or take a sack. Moreover, with new guys in there, QB's and receivers don't have the comfort and trust with each other to know that a guy is going to be in a particular place. This is what i think is happening to Manning.
If your receivers are wide open you would never get called a "gunslinger" - that description only comes from having to force the ball, either due to pressure or no open guys. It's why I think you can't blame Cutler all that much for his struggles as a Bear. The pressure from an totally incompetent O-line (which still stinks, btw - just not quite as badly) has been well-documented, but the lack of any very good receivers is just as much a part of the problem. No big targets to make up for lack of separation, no great route runners to get open (how often has a bears player really gotten truly wide open? not often). As good as Bennet has been recently, he's still not a true number one receiver - but i think a lot of his success comes from Cutler's familiarity with him - they know each others' games and are on the same page.
For all of Knox's big play success, it never feels like he and Cutler are on the same page, and there have been many examples of him running the wrong routes, or failing to follow through on a route, causing a pick.
It's not just that i think Cutler would be a better QB with a decent line and good receivers, I think he would be a different QB. We've never heard "gunslinger" thrown around regarding Peyton Manning - but if he had the talent he has now for his whole career I bet we would have.
This FanPost was written by a Windy City Gridiron member, and does not necessarily reflect the ideas or opinions of its staff or community.
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+1
My thoughts exactly.
While I’d still love to have some new linemen, I think our receivers are getting better with Cutler. Sure, we could use Megatron, but I like our guys – not like the 2008 days, when we had Orton and Lloyd(!)
Yup, because Orton & Lloyd suck!
2010 stats so far:
Orton – 3,487 yards, 20 TD, 6 Int, 93.0 rating
Cutler – 2,545 yards, 17 TD, 10 Int, 92.8 rating
Lloyd – 60 rec, 1,153 yards, 9TD
Knox* – 40 rec, 740 yards, 2TD
*leading reciever
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Orton's transformation is a good example
I guarantee he would be a lot worse than Cutler if he was on the Bears – he has nowhere near the mobility, and never showed any ability to make plays under heavy pressure.
Lloyd’s transformation, I have no explanation for. He has never been a very good player until now.
Orton's OL isn't much better.
They’ve already given up 33 sacks, only eight less than ours.
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I haven't seen their games all that much
but i wonder how many of those are on Orton, how many of those are on his receivers, and how many are on the O-line. It’s really hard to tell without watching carefully. given his lack of mobility, I’d bet a bunch are on him.
I think Cutler has a tendency to hold on to the ball too long, but even having watched all the games carefully it’s hard to know how much is his fault given how bad the O-line has been. The lack of as many sacks in the last few games has as much to do with Cutler tucking and running more as anything else.
even with 4 sacks in each of the last 2 games
cutler is averaging 2.8 sacks a game since the bye, and 4.5 before the bye.
Also
Orton has averaged 38 attempts a game to Cutler’s 28 – way more opportunities to give up sacks.
I didn’t mean for this post to be a Cutler – Orton comparison (although it seems that every discussion of Cutler is going to involve Orton somehow); rather to note the degree to which receivers and Oline matter – as seen in Manning’s struggles lately (11 picks in 3 games!)
Devils Advocate
38 vs 28 means more opportunities to throw pics, yet Orton threw less than Jay.
And let me get this straight:
• Most likely, because of his mobility, the sacks are probably Orton’s fault, and
• The lack of sacks recently is because Cutler is so good at tucking and running.
Jeebus people. Cutler is not as good as everyone makes him out to be. He’s a pretty good QB, but he makes mistakes too. Yes, the OL has sucked. Yes, the receivers have run some wrong routes or slipped or not fought for every jump ball. But c’mon, stop making excuses for the guy. He throws interceptions and often holds on to the ball too long. And all that’s okay, because he makes up for it in other ways.
And the reason that the sacks have gone down (somewhat) is because our make shift OL is starting to play better. Bottom line.
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i don't think we disagree all that much
I think cutler makes mistakes as well – i think he’s a talented guy with a few holes in his game – i just think those holes have been exacerbated by circumstances.
but i don’t understand what the problem is with saying that Orton’s lack of mobility is a cause of sacks and Cutler’s recent urge to tuck and run has kept him out of sacks that he otherwise would have had, given our miserable offensive line (which, even better than it was before is still worst in the league, imo).
Let me get this straight.
By your tone, I have to assume that you don’t think those two points are factors. Seriously? It surprises you that people think that (OMG) a less than mobile QB with a history of holding on to the ball too long might have some fault in being sacked? It’s not exactly a new idea. Meanwhile, you also take issue with the idea that people credit a mobile QB with avoiding sacks. Have you been watching the games, David? Cutler has been avoiding sacks with his feet and that credit should go to him. He’s a big boy who makes the big money, right? Some of the praise should fall on his shoulders. He can take it. Just as Orton is the big Boy who makes the big pays and he should shoulder the blame, right? I find it funny and a bit maddening that you are so free with disseminating blame to Cutler, but when it’s time to dish out praise, you seem to get anxiety over someone pointing the finger in Cutler’s direction. Meanwhile, when someone heaves a bit of blame Orton’s way, then you want to go all Johnothan Ogdan and protect the QB.
Sorry, but it’s ludicrous to look at a guy having to run away from the defensive line so much and then listen to someone talk about how its the line improving that has diminished the sack numbers, not the QB. Of course, the line has improved a bit, the implementation of rollouts has helped some too, a well as better playcalling and a QB who has been using his feet better and getting the ball out faster.
My biggest problem here is understanding why you are so down on Cutler. You point out that he makes mistakes (which of course, he does) like it’s something he is alone in. The whole point of this post was to obviously to combat that attitude. Nobody is calling Cutler God. The argument is that he’s not as bad as people like you are making him sound. I find it funny that you jump to dismiss Cutler while jumping to defend Kyle Orton (who I like, and I have exactly zero problems with game managing QBs, They serve a purpose), who is 11-17 as a starter in Denver with better defenses than Jay went 15-17 with in the previous 2 years.
For the record, I think the fact that McNugget is looking to replace Orton is along the same lines as looking to replace Cutler. Being a good game manager who is developing the other aspects of your game is not a bad thing, hence the low number of INTs. Orton is only going to improve,
And, David……for all of your complaining about making excuses for him, you make just as many excuses for why he isn’t good. What I don’t get is why you make more excuses for Denver’s QB than for the Bears’ quarterback. Again, nobody is saying Cutler is great. They are saying that he is better than those who dismiss him admit. He still has a long way to go. I wouldn’t put him in the top 10 in the league.
in•san•i•ty \in-ˈsa-nə-tē\ noun
1 : The practice of repeating the same action while expecting different results.
by Timothy Hockemeyer on Dec 6, 2010 9:07 PM CST up reply actions
I'm not anti-Cutler, at all.
As I’ve said many, many, many, many, many times on this board, Jay is an above average QB with all the potential to be great. When he does play well, as he has recently, you get comment after fan post after comment about how amazing he is, how he’s the greatest QB ever, and how he proved all of his critics wrong. All I’m doing is staying realistic, and offering up the counter arguments as to why we should temper our enthusiasms.
The same with Orton. Chicago has been QB starved for so long, that we seem to hold some irrational belief that Jay has to be exponentially better than Orton. Kyle was a good QB for the Bears, not great, but good. He played tough football, did what he was asked to do, and never complained. I’m glad he’s succeeding in Denver, and my argument strictly lies with the fact that people like to bash Orton, so they can uplift Cutler. Is Jay the better QB? In my opinion, an emphatic hell to the yeah.
And yes, the attributes applied to the QBs do play some part in the sacks, but to an nth degree. There is so much involved in why the QBs are taking the sacks. I basically just find it humorous, and somewhat infuriating, that people keep making excuse after excuse, when they don’t need to. Jay does a ton of stuff right, yet people try to excuse the things that he does wrong by justifying them.
And why does everyone who says anything wrong about Cutler automatically have to be against him? This is a common trend on this board, and it’s ludicrous. He’s not above criticism… especially when he gets the amount of praise (as he should in some cases) that he does.
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Nobody said he was above criticism, but....
When you say things like the attributes of a QB do play a part in the sacks, but to the nth degree, IO find that ridiculous. When you see a DE come around the corner and a QB evades him, that 100% the QB. Not exactly nth degree stuff here. Meanwhile, when you see a QB hold the ball too long, then cave when a linemen comes around the corner of the tackle, the QB bares some of the responsibility. You really don’t see how that might work?
There is a difference between making excuses and stating reasons.
Please show me where I have made Cutler out to be better than he is. Because I have repeatedly, as you referenced below, argued that we haven’t seen enough of Cutler in a single system to say if he’s good or bad. But you have said that……
Jeebus people. Cutler is not as good as everyone makes him out to be.
That doesn’t sound like “above average” to me. And I find this hilarious, given our discussions across a coupe of threads over the past week:
Chicago has been QB starved for so long, that we seem to hold some irrational belief that Jay has to be exponentially better than Orton.
This is exactly what I have been arguing the whole week. That too much is made of every INT Cutler throws, of every mistake he makes. You response to this argument earlier this week was something to the effect of “he gets paid the big money, he should shoulder the blame”. That is ridiculous, especially considering that he’s not even the second highest paid player on this team. The blame should fall where it was earned, not on some designee based on salary.
Cutler has a long way to go to be elite, and, as I have said before, he’s not even a top 10 QB in the league in my book. But the Hoopla made about his mistakes is media sensationalism combined with Chicago fans’ desperate need to ride a QB into the ground.
And where have I degraded Orton? I assume you must have written this in response to me, but addressed it to someone else? I can’t tell for sure (the whole hard to get those little nuances across on the interwebs) Orton was what he was. He might have been the best option around for the Ron Turner Debacle. He was underrated both mentally, and his physical limitations were over-exagerated, though they were there. I personally think that with a different QB, we would have been 3-4 games worse in ‘08 than we were. Kyle wasn’t as limited as he was given credit for, but he was limited just enough to force Turner into a bit more conservative game plan and Kyle was smart enough to turn those still poor game plans into something.
what I find infuriating is that any time people don’t just bow down every time an offensive mistake is made and admit that it was 100% Cutler’s fault, then someone wants to pop in and say they are just making excuses for him.
in•san•i•ty \in-ˈsa-nə-tē\ noun
1 : The practice of repeating the same action while expecting different results.
by Timothy Hockemeyer on Dec 7, 2010 9:40 AM CST up reply actions
Why does every response you make
have to be a book, rehashing every single thing that’s already been said?
And I’m speaking in generalities, not directly at you, but in response to themes that pop up across the board. So, when I say “as good as everyone makes him out to be” it’s not referencing your comments per se, it’s more inherent to the “Leave Cutler a-Lohan” comments.
And salary? Cutler’s a team leader, a captain. Does Urlarcher not carry more responsibility, praise, blame for the way the defense plays than Matt Toeina?
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by David Taylor on Dec 7, 2010 10:24 AM CST up reply actions
Funny you mention that, cause...
I was just thinking about the same thing, and I would say no, he doesn’t. Should he? maybe, but when the Bears D plays poorly, (see the Bob Babich years for a great example) nobody was calling out Briggs and Urlacher for the mistakes of Babich and the system. in fact, it was all about the system and Babich, was it not? As well, when the defense makes mistakes you hear talk of need ing better DTs and better secondary personnel, not ditching Urlacher. In other words, on defense, we blame the guys at fault, not the highest paid guys. Why should it be different on offense?
As far as a book, well, that’s how I do it. Like it or don’t. Matters little to me.
in•san•i•ty \in-ˈsa-nə-tē\ noun
1 : The practice of repeating the same action while expecting different results.
by Timothy Hockemeyer on Dec 7, 2010 10:39 AM CST up reply actions
Good point on Babich, and the system.
Didn’t really think of it that way.
But I do think, and I could be wrong, that Urlacher received a lot more criticism than normal during those years, as well. And not everyone blames Cutler for the mistakes either. You get your fair share of “it’s a fault of the systems, OL, WR, etc” articles as well.
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by David Taylor on Dec 7, 2010 10:55 AM CST up reply actions
I've just.....
felt that Cutler gets more criticism than even most QBs do. That’s what bothers me. Bust his chops for the things he’s doing wrong. I’m fine with that. But laying everything on him, which is pretty common (I mean, how many articles did you read about how bad Ron Turner was in the MSM? In fact, I remember an article defending him when Orton was hear about the predictability of the offense and that’s really the only one I can remember either way)
Martz is higher profile, so you got more criticism on him early in the season, but that had more to do with Mike and the medias past than it did with actual true placement of responsibility (how many of those article mentioned Angelo and Smith’s drafting?), though most of the criticism was deserved.
I hate the rash jumps to judgement. That’s what drives me nuts.
in•san•i•ty \in-ˈsa-nə-tē\ noun
1 : The practice of repeating the same action while expecting different results.
by Timothy Hockemeyer on Dec 7, 2010 11:11 AM CST up reply actions
I'm right there with you.
Just arguing the opposite side of the coin, is all. Like I said, I think we agree more than it appears.
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by David Taylor on Dec 7, 2010 11:29 AM CST up reply actions
And as far as the book comment.
I only make it, because I’m lazy and don’t really read long comments. ;)
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LMAO! 8D
in•san•i•ty \in-ˈsa-nə-tē\ noun
1 : The practice of repeating the same action while expecting different results.
by Timothy Hockemeyer on Dec 8, 2010 8:02 AM CST up reply actions
I've seen every game
and he’s got a world of time behind that line. Huge difference between him and Cutler, especially earlier in the season. Their 33 sacks is a bit inflated because the amount they’ve thrown the ball too.
Orton- 457 attempts and 6.7% sack rate.
Cutler- 318 attempts and 11.4% sack rate.
"He's a great candidate," Ryan said. "If I hadn't made him drop in coverage so often on running backs, he might be the all-time sack leader. They call it zone blitzing nowadays. We called it, 'Richard, pick him up.'" - Buddy Ryan on Richard Dent's HOF chances.
Care to re-think your position
regarding Cutler v. Orton?
I always turn to the sports section first. The sports page records people's accomplishments; the front page has nothing but man's failures.
~Earl Warren
by lookingdeadred on Dec 8, 2010 7:51 AM CST up reply actions
Ole!
I always turn to the sports section first. The sports page records people's accomplishments; the front page has nothing but man's failures.
~Earl Warren
by lookingdeadred on Dec 9, 2010 7:51 AM CST up reply actions
Not that it takes much...
but I’m so confused.
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sack rate says it best
If you go in the bathroom, turn off the lights, and say "Da Coach" 5 times while facing the mirror... Ditka will appear and slap the wussy right out of you.
by Lester A. Wiltfong Jr. on Dec 7, 2010 12:49 PM CST up reply actions
Clady may be the best
Left tackle in the game. And here’s the kicker – they drafted him (correct me if I’m wrong) 2 spots ahead of the Bears – who then ended up drafting their franchise left tackle, (Chris Williams) of course.
I think it was one spot ahead of CW.
"He's a great candidate," Ryan said. "If I hadn't made him drop in coverage so often on running backs, he might be the all-time sack leader. They call it zone blitzing nowadays. We called it, 'Richard, pick him up.'" - Buddy Ryan on Richard Dent's HOF chances.
He's trying harder
When Lloyd was a Bear, he made some pretty big plays, but that was only when he tried. There was some “injury” spat involving him when he was on the Bears where he said he couldn’t play and the coaches thought he just wasn’t putting forth the effort to get on the field. I think now he’s actually trying and putting forth more effort and it’s showing because he certainly had it in him to play great.
2008 Orton and Lloyd, which is what he is referencing:
Orton— 2,972 yds, 18 TDs, 12 INTs
Lloyd— 26 rec, 364 yards, 2 TDs
He’s saying he likes our current guys more than he did our 2008 guys.
As do I.
But as it relates to this article. Maybe it wasn’t the players that were problem.
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Prior to his settling down a bit this year
Cutler was a much better QB in Denver than he was in Chicago. He also had some very, very good WRs there. Yes, he still turned the ball over a lot, but Peyton Manning had more INTs than TDs in his rookie year, as well. I suspect that as Cutler developed those would have dropped off, had he not been stuck in an awful situation.
So you give Orton a pass...
for less than stellar performance in Chicago (as you should) but then talk about how Jay isn’t as good as people who are just arguing that every QB makes mistakes and maybe Cutler isn’t as bad as they make him sound say he is.
And as it relates to your previous comments, Orton is a big boy. He can shoulder the blame. For then and for his 3-9 record now and his 11-17 record and late season collapse in Denver last season. He gets paid the big buck. I know his defense fell apart, but he gets paid the big bucks. He’s not as good as the Orton Lovers are claiming.
LOL ;)
in•san•i•ty \in-ˈsa-nə-tē\ noun
1 : The practice of repeating the same action while expecting different results.
by Timothy Hockemeyer on Dec 6, 2010 9:13 PM CST up reply actions
Aren't you the same guy...
that says the systems are a big reason for a QBs success/failure? Or does that only work when it’s the QB that you’re defending? And of course, Orton’s not as good as people make out… read my comment above for the rest of my response.
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Were you being your cheeky self here?
I’m not sure if this was supposed to be a funny response or a serious one. No, seriously.
I guess I’ll take this as serious. First you’ll notice what I put in parenthesis “as you should”. That should have been the first indicator that I was pointing out hypocrisy, not arguing that Orton was bad.
Take a minute and read that first paragraph again.
So you give Orton a pass…
for less than stellar performance in Chicago (as you should) but then talk about how Jay isn’t as good as people who are just arguing that every QB makes mistakes and maybe Cutler isn’t as bad as they make him sound say he is.
I noted that you used the same argument to “justify mistakes” (your words, not mine) thrown on Orton (Unjustly, I would add) that I used on another thread that you just referenced to counter the same type of argument against Jay. Of course, both make mistakes (that is another point I have made) but both are over-scrutinized (though for different reasons). The whole game manger thing with Orton is truth. That’s what he is. My problem with it is that people use the phrase like it’s a bad thing. Managing the game is far from bad. Orton is efficient, plays to his strengths and plays the game smart and selflessly. He has average to slightly below average physical skills combined with above average smarts and sense of team. Some people make him out to be garbage, and they are wrong. Some people make him out to be almost elite, and they are wrong, as well. But just being a game manager does not make him bad. That’s just stupid. I would call him an above average QB. No qualifiers or other describers needed. he is above average.
The second paragraph was nothing more than an illustration of all that I thought was wrong with your argument from our previous conversation on another thread. I used your argument as it applied to Orton. If the QB shoulders all the blame because he’s a big boy and makes the big bucks, then it would apply to Orton as well. this is what I was referring to above, when I said I found it funny that you jumped to dismiss Cutler while jumping to defend Orton. But you’ll note, that at the end I pointed out that it was the defense that fell apart on Orton last year (Just as it did to Cutler last year and in his final two seasons in Denver) and then reverted back to your argument from the previous thread. Orton has played great in Denver, and the team record in no way reflects his play, just as it did not when Cutler was in Denver for the same reasons. In other words, throwing all the blame at the QB is burying your head in the sand, regardless of how big their paycheck is.
In other words, I wasn’t downing Orton. I was pointing out how this conversation related to our previous one. The Ron Turner system screwed every QB that ever played under it. That’s what happened to Grossman, Cutler and Orton. Of course, they made their own mistakes, but the system set them up for failure.
I’m sorry to play it this way, my friend, but I was trying to make a point. When Orton was challenged, you reverted to all the things I said about Cutler for the benefit of your argument. From my system argument, to how many different factors affect a QBs stats to people downplaying a QB to boost another one.
Come on, my friend. Gimme credit. You played right into my hand, even using my argument, that you argued against just the other day, to try and make your point. Mwahahahahahahahah!!!!!!!
I love you, though! You are still the most photoshoppinest, lyrically talented and cheeky little monkey I know! 8D
in•san•i•ty \in-ˈsa-nə-tē\ noun
1 : The practice of repeating the same action while expecting different results.
by Timothy Hockemeyer on Dec 7, 2010 10:13 AM CST up reply actions
Of course...
Systems play a part. Scrambling ability plays a part. Offensive lines play a part. Receivers route running play a part, et cetera, et cetera. And yes, it may seem like I’m defending Orton, but (again), I’m not saying he’s an amazing QB. Just bringing up counterpoints against a general theme – not necessarily against anything you’ve said. Just as I’m doing for Cutler. He’s a fine QB, and I really think he’ll do well.
We agree more than you think we do. And thanks for the compliments… I heart you too. ;)
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by David Taylor on Dec 7, 2010 10:34 AM CST up reply actions
♪♫♪♫Just the two of us♫♪♫♪
in•san•i•ty \in-ˈsa-nə-tē\ noun
1 : The practice of repeating the same action while expecting different results.
by Timothy Hockemeyer on Dec 7, 2010 10:40 AM CST up reply actions
Well
Cutler missed a game. So that makes up for the discrepancy in yardage between him and Orton.
You must have me confused with someone else, I have never been to Chicago.
[whispers] I sexually assaulted Scottie Pippen in 1997.
Cutler would've passed for 942 yards
against Carolina… nice.
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LOL, I thought the same thing when I read that.
Doc really was confident in what Jay would have done against the Panthers, me thinks ;)
in•san•i•ty \in-ˈsa-nə-tē\ noun
1 : The practice of repeating the same action while expecting different results.
by Timothy Hockemeyer on Dec 7, 2010 10:24 AM CST up reply actions
Don't get me wrong...
Carolina’s defense is below average* and all, but 942 passing is a bit much.
*Although there pass defense is ranked 8th in the league.
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by David Taylor on Dec 7, 2010 10:29 AM CST up reply actions
Oh, I wasn't being sarcastic.
I agreed with you completely.
in•san•i•ty \in-ˈsa-nə-tē\ noun
1 : The practice of repeating the same action while expecting different results.
by Timothy Hockemeyer on Dec 7, 2010 10:40 AM CST up reply actions
o-line, sure...but don't talk about receivers
peyton manning still has this okay dude named reggie wayne. i think he might be decent. garcon also isn’t terrible. the real problem does seem to be on the o-line, though. peyton is a killer vs. the blitz, but his line is giving him a second less of protection this year than normal, and that is making a huge difference. and yes, this is largely what resulted in cutler’s “bad” play last year. except that for cutler, its because he’s not a great QB, but for manning and some others, its because his teammates aren’t doing their part. good ol’ moronic sports “journalists”. anyway, lesson being, protect your QB. if you don’t, even maybe the greatest ever (manning) will throw 10 picks in 3 weeks.
Sorry, ESPN still thinks Manning is the greatest, and Cutler is a crybaby who was bailed out by Samuel not being around to pick him off 5 times.
Lifelong Arizona Cardinals/Chicago Bears fan [I have always lived in Arizona, dad is from Chicago].
I can't stand fair-weather/bandwagon fans, stick with your team(s), throughout the good and the bad. And don't switch to whichever team wins the Super Bowl each year.
Despite the off year...
Manning is the greatest.
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cheekymonkeyart.com | follow me on facebook and twitter
Agreed.
As much as I want to hate the guy for beating Da Bears in the Super Bowl, I just can’t. A class act and true student of the game. When he finally decides to hang ‘em up he’ll either be one hell of a coach or a great analyst/commentator.
WILDCARD BITCHES!!! YEEEEHHHAAAAA!!!!!
...and now I am leaving earth for no raisin!
You must have me confused with someone else, I have never been to Chicago.
[whispers] I sexually assaulted Scottie Pippen in 1997.
No, that would be Brady
I always turn to the sports section first. The sports page records people's accomplishments; the front page has nothing but man's failures.
~Earl Warren
by lookingdeadred on Dec 8, 2010 7:53 AM CST up reply actions
your opinion
I’m sticking with Manning.
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The hype says Manning is better
but one should not always buy the hype
I always turn to the sports section first. The sports page records people's accomplishments; the front page has nothing but man's failures.
~Earl Warren
by lookingdeadred on Dec 9, 2010 7:52 AM CST up reply actions
actually,
the hype right now is leaning Brady’s favor. And he’s a helluva QB, who’s won a bunch of games, and a bunch of SBs. I just prefer Manning, and what he brings to the position.
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I still don't get all this talk about #1
As good as Bennet has been recently, he’s still not a true number one receiver
he catches almost everything thrown his way, gets good YAC, runs proper routes. he could easily be our best WR, and i’m fairly confident he’d be a #2 on a bunch of other teams.
just because he doesn’t possess that “wow” factor, i dunno, he makes a lot of plays, and I think he’s being sold a little short sometimes, anyone?
Superman wears an Urlacher Jersey under his costume
he's a good player, but
he’s not going to get separation on a bomb, he’s not going to juke someone out of his pants, and he’s not going out-leap another player in the endzone. He’s a great super-solid #2, who will run good routes, catch balls thrown to him, and fight for yardage after the catch. Smart, too: he always knows where the marker is, and what he should be doing at any given moment.
his pre-draft comp was hines ward
hines also doesn’t have blazing speed, but runs precise routes, catches everything thrown his way, and is a very reliable target. hines isn’t exactly a prototypical #1, but whatever, if bennett ends up anything close to him (he is similar), i’d be as happy as a pig in mud.
by guy incognito on Dec 6, 2010 4:33 PM CST up reply actions
Having appropriate labels for players
Is more important than having a very good reciever.
by Arbusto on Dec 6, 2010 4:49 PM CST up reply actions 3 recs
This....rec'd for Awesomeness in Sarcasm!
in•san•i•ty \in-ˈsa-nə-tē\ noun
1 : The practice of repeating the same action while expecting different results.
by Timothy Hockemeyer on Dec 6, 2010 9:14 PM CST up reply actions
The problem
is that people believe a #1 WR should be an elite WR.
"He's a great candidate," Ryan said. "If I hadn't made him drop in coverage so often on running backs, he might be the all-time sack leader. They call it zone blitzing nowadays. We called it, 'Richard, pick him up.'" - Buddy Ryan on Richard Dent's HOF chances.
Bennett
I could see Earl becoming, especially in this offense, what everybody wants our “#1 WR” to be. Physical, sure handed, and a third down machine. He breaks his fair share of tackles and is a pretty good blocker as well. We don’t have to have a 6’5" 230 lb. freak at WR to be successful. I’m not claiming Earl is the greatest or anything, but I think he can be very successful in this offense and in the NFL period. It helps that Cutler seems extremely comfortable throwing the ball to and relying on him.
Would I still like to get Julio Jones at a decent spot in the draft? Of course. That has more to do with the Alabama homer in me more than us needing a big fella’ out there though. :)
WILDCARD BITCHES!!! YEEEEHHHAAAAA!!!!!
For some reason,
I always mixed he and Joaquin Iglesias up, despite their years, and different schools…
ANYWAY when the Bears drafted him I was stunned. Then realized it wasn’t Julio Jones. lol
You must have me confused with someone else, I have never been to Chicago.
[whispers] I sexually assaulted Scottie Pippen in 1997.
I know why!
That’s easy..
Ithink you mix up guys because of the singer, “Julio Iglesias”. Think: “Julio Jones” and “Juaquin Iglesias”.
+
= 
by Claudio Oliveira on Dec 7, 2010 10:43 AM CST up reply actions
I know I have actually done this, sadly enough......
in•san•i•ty \in-ˈsa-nə-tē\ noun
1 : The practice of repeating the same action while expecting different results.
by Timothy Hockemeyer on Dec 7, 2010 10:44 AM CST up reply actions
I've loved
what I’ve seen from Julio. Plus, anyone with the name Julio Jones needs to be on the Bears.
Take Brandon Marshall as an example of an over-glorified #1 WR. His numbers are skewed because the amount of targets he gets, but his YPC is amongst the lowest in the league when comparing elite WRs. He’s really not a true #1, no matter the number of catches he gets. He’s very vertically challenged.
"He's a great candidate," Ryan said. "If I hadn't made him drop in coverage so often on running backs, he might be the all-time sack leader. They call it zone blitzing nowadays. We called it, 'Richard, pick him up.'" - Buddy Ryan on Richard Dent's HOF chances.
I disagree.
he gets the number of targets he does because he is a big strong receiver who challenges for the ball and gets open frequently. Those are “Elite” skills in my book. YPC and YAC are misleading stats. For example, if a QB catches a good screen, like Forte did earlier this year and catches some good blocks, all the YAC indicates is how far he got to run untouched and that catch greatly increases the YPC of the player. By contrast, Megatrons catch and run with stiff arms was exactly the opposite. He earned those yards after catch. Another problem is if a system calls for shorter routes as both Miami and Denver frequently run, then two receivers from two different systems could have the same kind of plays, and be the same type of player, but with vastly different YPC numbers because one most frequently runs routes between the 7 and 12 and the other runs many routes between the 10 and 15. That difference in coordinators translates into a difference in the YPC stat.
That’s why I take them with a grain of salt.
in•san•i•ty \in-ˈsa-nə-tē\ noun
1 : The practice of repeating the same action while expecting different results.
by Timothy Hockemeyer on Dec 7, 2010 10:32 AM CST up reply actions
So you’ll give a player like Johnson credit for bull-rushing through DBs, but not to a player like Forte who gets to the right place and waits for blocks to set up?
by Steven Schweickert on Dec 7, 2010 12:36 PM CST up reply actions
I think you read to much into what I am saying....
I’m not downing Forte in the example. What I am saying is that the routes for a system impact the YPC and YAC of a player. The example illustrates that. It also illustrates the other part of my point, which is that there are more factors to a players YAC and YPC than just how good a receiver is.
For the record, as far as I am concerned, Forte is not only Elite, as far as receiving goes, for an RB, but possibly the best receiver out of the backfield in the league. And this season is not what makes that clear to me, but the last two. He was one of the best in the league in a Ron Turner system. That speaks volumes to his ability as a receiver out of the backfield.
in•san•i•ty \in-ˈsa-nə-tē\ noun
1 : The practice of repeating the same action while expecting different results.
by Timothy Hockemeyer on Dec 8, 2010 6:41 AM CST up reply actions
I had a good long reply about the viability of YAC and YPC,
rewrote it three times, still wasn’t happy, the boss was due back so that’s what you got.
Apologies if the post came off not as intended.
For example, if a
QBHB catches a good screen, like Forte did earlier this year and catches some good blocks, all the YAC indicates is how far he got to run untouched and that catch greatly increases the YPC of the player.
It sounds like you write off that contribution the player like Forte (screw it, TPLF) made to the play. “Oh all he did was run untouched, any of us can do that…” I guarantee you my 5.40 40 and I couldn’t. Swings and screens are all about the player’s ability, whether it be to burn right down the sideline or pick his way through blockers. Don’t you… want your players on screens and swing passes to run untouched or be able to use blockers?
By contrast, Megatrons catch and run with stiff arms was exactly the opposite. He earned those yards after catch.
Ah-ha! Because he stiff-armed and was more physical without help from blockers, he “earned” those yards. While being physical might mean more consistent YAC, I have to dispute that one type of YAC is “earned” over another type.
I won’t argue that YAC/YPC are completely indicative of a WR’s or RB’s receiving ability (they’re not), or that a coordinator has no effect (of course it does). But if the player’s YAC is consistently high enough (key word consistent), I’d have to say he’s doing something right. Routes affect YPC, definitely, but YAC is the receiver after the route’s been run, mostly. The route sets him up, but he makes the plays afterwards.
by Steven Schweickert on Dec 8, 2010 7:44 AM CST up reply actions
I disagree completely.
Every back and WR in the league has the speed to run untouched from one end of the field to the other if the blocks are there. That doesn’t mean the WR didn’t contribute. But you mean to tell me that a WR who runs 50 yards and breaks 2 tackles isn’t more impressive to you than a WR that runs 50 yards and has two guys blocked for him so he can run untouched?
I’m not arguing that YPC/YAC don’t have theri place, either. I’m arguing that you cannot take one simple stat that is based just as much on system and teammates, if not more, than it is one personal ability and make that the one reason you say someone is, or isn’t elite. And while YAC has litle to do with the route, it often has much to do with other teammates blocking and such. I’m not saying that’s always the case (obviously, as I used Megatron’s run as a reference) nor am I saying that a player who runs untouched to the endzone doesn’t deserve credit (if you could have seen me on gameday when Forte ran that screen back, you would know that isn’t true either). But i am saying that Megatrons run was 100% him, while the Forte run was a team effort after the catch. Am I wrong?
My whole point is that using either or both of those stats as a lone qualifier or disqualifier for Elite status is in folly.
I pointed out exactly why below.
in•san•i•ty \in-ˈsa-nə-tē\ noun
1 : The practice of repeating the same action while expecting different results.
by Timothy Hockemeyer on Dec 8, 2010 8:01 AM CST up reply actions
Kahlil Bell would like a word.
And if someone’s not fast enough to run down the field untouched, that shows up in YAC as being a smaller number. It’s called being tackled.
I didn’t say anything about being impressed or not. Obviously breaking tackles is more exciting and impressive than setting up/running behind blocks.
All I took issue with is your out-of-hand dismissal of the hypothetical Forte YAC. Now obviously it was a team play, but Forte’s patience to get blocks and break away for the touchdown is a skill too. Not as exciting as, say, throwing DBs around, but I’d say getting an 81-yard TD is exciting in its own right.
And again, that’s RB YAC to WR YAC. RB pass plays are mostly out of the backfield and almost always YAC because of it.
As usual, we agree more than you think (just because I take issue with a part doesn’t mean I don’t agree with you at all). It’s not the best measure of overall “elite” WR/RB ability. But generally, if it’s consistently high enough, he’s doing something right, whether it be outrunning people, breaking tackles left and right, or being smart enough to set up blockers when needed.
by Steven Schweickert on Dec 8, 2010 8:39 AM CST up reply actions
In that case
then we can call Wes Welker an elite WR. He gets open, fights for yards, catches everything, and has seven times the TDs that Marshall has.
In regard to your Mega/Forte comparison- you’re comparing a RBs YPC versus a WRs; apples meet oranges. Longer routes are more difficult to run, block for, and throw to. Forte’s YPC is 10.8- elite for a RB, but still below average for a WR. Marshalls? 11.9…with a 12.2 career.
"He's a great candidate," Ryan said. "If I hadn't made him drop in coverage so often on running backs, he might be the all-time sack leader. They call it zone blitzing nowadays. We called it, 'Richard, pick him up.'" - Buddy Ryan on Richard Dent's HOF chances.
Um, I would call .....
Wes Welker the best slot receiver in the league, bar none. He is the very nest at his position, and thus is very much in the “Elite” catagory. Slot is a very different position from the outside and has it’s own challenges and learning curve. Ask Devin Aromashodu, who acoording to Mike Martz, could not learn the position. Welker is the very best there is, and not even arguably, in my opinion, at his position.
Now, as to shorter routs being easier to run, Not so. Routes are routes. The require a player to remember where he is supposed to be, avoid defenders and run the proper lines just as much as a long route, and in some cases even more so. The routes aren’t harder to run, the completions are harder to make. The QB has to be accurate at a greater distance, and since a deeper route has less directional changes, DBs have to worry more about being burned thann being juked by a WR. But, receivers also have more time to shake a DB on longer routes and have more time for DBs to make mistakes, as a DB has to keep his eyes on the QB longer, and must also try to maintain with a WR, where as shorter routes require a receiver to get quicker separation and offers less time for a DB to screw up. Of course, this is why they say if a QB has enough time in the pocket, someone will come open. Longer routes require more time.
But what you can say is that shorter routes are harder to get a higher YAC and YPC from, as you have more defenders in front of you. And that in systems that utilize shorter routes more frequently, like anything from the Walsh coaching tree, which includes Mike Shanahan, George Seifert, Mike Holmgren and Andy Reid as well as the Perkins and Zampese shoots of the Coryell Tree, like Parcells, Sparano, Belichick, Jimmy Johnson, Mike Martz and Norv Turner, Receivers often see lower YPC and YAC because of so many underneath routes and the tendancy to use the short passing game as an extention of the running game. Those short passes lower the YPC numbers.
Now, if YPC is you bar for Elite, I guess that (since you threw out Wes Welker, I have to do this, lol) your most Elite receivers this season would be……All receivers “qualified” to lead the league (no 5 receptions players, in other words)
Mike Wallace – 21.2 YPC
Anthony Armstrong – 20.7
DeSean Jackson – 20.1
Malcom Floyd – 19.6
Brandon Lloyd – 19.2
Kenny Britt – 18.9
Patrick Crayton – 18.4
Johnny Knox – 18.0
Braylon Edwards – 17.8
Robert Meachum – 16.6
Now, there are some decent names in there. But elite receivers? These are the guys your math puts on top?
Some guys I think are Elite or at least above average along with the players just ahead of above them, just for fun….
Andre Johnson #28
preceded by Roy Williams #24
Calvin Johnson #31
preceded by Josh Morgan #30
Roddy White #56 and Larry Fitzgerald #57
preceded by Santana Moss #55, Mike Williams #54 and Mercedes Lewis #53
Reggie Wayne #65
preceded by Jordan Shipley #63 and Jabar Gaffney #63
Brandon Marshall #70
preceded by Roscoe Parrish #69 and Tony Moeaki #68
Austin Collie #86
preceded by Early Doucet #85 and Brent Celek #84
How can YPC be a measure of the “eliteness” of a WR if the three players widely considered to be the best in the league are ranked 28th, 31st and 57th with guys like Roy Williams, Josh Morgan, and Santana Moss topping them, not to mention guys like Mike Wallace and Anthony Armstrong being #1 and #2?
For further evidence, here are your Career YPC leaders for receivers who played in the modern passing era (We’ll say that they had to have played at least part of their careers from 1980 on)
Flipper Anderson
Willie Gault
Dokie Williams
Stanley Morgan
Wesley Walker (Not the spelling, this is not Wes W*e*lker)
Mel Gray
Devery Henderson
Roger Carr
Chris Sanders
Stephen Baker
Notice Anything about that group? There is your top 10, and while we all love us some Willie Gault, I don’t think any of us ever thought of Fast Wilie as Elite. As a matter of fact, none of these receivers were elite receivers. Some of them had a couple of good years, like flipper and his 2 good seasons, but none of these guys were ever considered Elite Receivers in the game.
in•san•i•ty \in-ˈsa-nə-tē\ noun
1 : The practice of repeating the same action while expecting different results.
by Timothy Hockemeyer on Dec 8, 2010 7:53 AM CST up reply actions
Dear goodness that is long
I’m not saying YPC is the end all be all, but if Marshall is an “elite” talent why isn’t asked to run intermediate and longer routes? I seriously don’t see himn catch the ball down the field very often. This leads me to believe that he isn’t very good at creating separation on those routes. Just ask KC Joyner on what he thinks (see’s on tape) of Marshall being an elite WR. An elite WR can do it all…Austin, Johnson, Mega, Rice, Jackson, TO, Nicks, Fitz, White, etc…
"He's a great candidate," Ryan said. "If I hadn't made him drop in coverage so often on running backs, he might be the all-time sack leader. They call it zone blitzing nowadays. We called it, 'Richard, pick him up.'" - Buddy Ryan on Richard Dent's HOF chances.
TWSS
All women are beautiful when the lights are off!
by touchdown bears on Dec 8, 2010 2:02 PM CST up reply actions
the world is a stage
and we have all gone mad!
. "Most football teams are temperamental. That's 90% temper and 10% mental."
--Doug Plank
I thought we already were?
All women are beautiful when the lights are off!
by touchdown bears on Dec 8, 2010 2:03 PM CST up reply actions

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