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Fantasy Football: Week 10 Pickups

Well, that was a weird one.  Drops, fumbles, missed tackles, penalties, bad officiating.  Aside from protecting Jay Cutler, everything that could have gone wrong for the Bears DID go wrong.  My general feeling was that the entire offense was just slightly off, and that Major Wright needs a LOT more seasoning before we can call him the future.

BUT WE WON!!!

We're now basically free and clear for the #6 seed in the NFC, standing one game over all other competitors except the Atlanta Falcons, who we hold the tiebreaker over.

Anyhoo, let’s start off with the usual disclaimers.  I'm not a Fantasy expert.  I've run the gauntlet from 0-for the season to undefeated champion, and everything in between.  I've played in almost every type of Fantasy Football league except for Auction drafts and Franchise leagues.  My favorite leagues right now are the two 2QB starter leagues, one of which I'm the defending champion.  I'm also a big fan of scoring odd things, like return yardage for offensive players, and TFLs and 3-and-outs for Defenses.  So some of my rankings might be skewed slightly (or majorly) by some of my experiences.  Take them with a grain of salt.

The pickups below are broken down first by position, then by the order I'd pick them up.  Not all waiver wire pickups are created equal, obviously.  The guys higher up in their positional breakdown are more highly recommended than those lower down.

I also dislike talking about players for multiple weeks in a row.  It gets boring from my end to say the same things over and over again.  But I’ll also run out of material pretty quickly if I keep doing that.  For the most part, the guys I thought would be good to pick up last week (or any other week for that matter) are still probably halfway decent pickups.  But, as always, be smart about what you’re doing with your team.  Don’t pick up Torrey Smith just because I recommended him after his insane 3 score game a few weeks ago.  Do your own research, just as I’ve done in compiling these lists.  And, above all, ENJOY THE INSANITY!

Star-divide

 

Carson Palmer, QB, Oak -- One of a few potential Week 9 Plug&Play options.  San Diego just gave up 45 points at home to the Packers.  Now, the Packers are cringe a great cringe team, with quite possibly the most potent offense since New England ran through the season a couple years ago.  Even so, Carson put on a pretty decent show against an admittedly porous Denver passing defense.  3 scores, 3 picks, and 332 yards.  Those are some big points.  I'm expecting around 250, 2 scores, and a pick this week, as a floor.

Christian Ponder, QB, Min -- Another Plug&Play type.  Green Bay just let Philip Rivers go crazy against them, especially in the 4th quarter.  And Rivers didn't really have much of a running game to help him out with Matthews sidelined this weekend.  Ponder has Adrian Peterson to take the pressure off him.  And he's got basically zero expectations for this game or this season.  And his receiving core isn't without talent either.  Like Palmer, I'd say that the floor here is around 250 yards, 2 scores, and a pick, but the ceiling is probably lower and Green Bay has become ball hawkish recently.

Matt Cassel, QB, KC -- Two things could potentially go on here.  KC could have a bounce back game like they had those 4 bounceback weeks after the atrocity that was the start of their season.  And Denver is a terrible passing defense.  I'm not buying on the player here.  I'm buying on the situation and the matchup.  Don't expect huge numbers, but he should get you 10-15 points on standard Y! or ESPN settings.

LaDainian Tomlinson, RB, NYJ -- There's a good chance he's already taken in your league, as Y! is reporting him 53% owned right now.  But he looks to be getting his poaching job back, and he was pretty lively in limited action against Buffalo this weekend.  New England probably isn't where you want to test this out, though.  But after New England, he's got a pretty cushy schedule for a RB, pretty much all the way through Championship Weekend.  The Buy Low period is probably over for him, but you could still make a profit out of the former Fantasy MVP.

Roy Helu, RB, Was -- I've made it something of a policy to stay away from a Mike Shanahan backfield.  But Helu is, in my eyes, clearly the most capable runner that they've got to work with.  Of course, the moment that I recommend him, Shanny's gonna bench him for some other no-name and watch him go for triple digits and a score.  Still, it's Miami.  And if you're going to test out a Shanny RB, there's really not much better of a place to do so.

Marion Barber, RB, Chi -- He is a poacher.  Pure and simple.  His game relies 100% upon scoring opportunities.  But Matt Forte, for everything that he does right, simply does not have a nose for the end zone.  Scores are the most important part of Fantasy Football, so Barber's worth an add in the same way that Jerome Bettis was worth an add back in 2005.  Scores, and only scores, will make the Barbarian useful.  And he's delivered more often than not this season, as well as each of the last 3 weeks.

Laurent Robinson, WR, Dal -- Miles Austin is injured.  Again.  And Dez Bryant is almost criminally underused in that offense.  Robinson looked pretty decent against a spectacular Eagles passing defense and a not-terrible Seahawks defense.  He's also got scores two weeks running.  And he gets the soft Buffalo secondary.  Pick him up and start him if you don't have multiple top 20 WRs.  He's got a good shot at joining them this week.

Jacoby Ford, WR, Oak -- Time to rewrite the book on this receiving core once again.  Really, I think that all three players here (Ford, Denarius Moore, and Darrius Heyward-Bey) are start-worthy depending on your league settings.  But Ford seems to have Carson Palmer's eyes right now.  I think he's the one to own at the moment, but that could change weekly.  And, again, San Diego isn't a spectacular passing defense this year.

Antonio Brown, WR, Pit -- He had 20 yards and a score stolen from him by his teammate Mike Wallace.  But he's turning into an incredible fantasy value, and an almost must-start as long as Hines Ward is even close to injured, which seems to be his perpetual state.  He went 5/109 against the always-stingy Ravens.  He's been doing it for most of the season.  He's available in 60% of ESPN leagues.  PICK HIM UP!

David Nelson, WR, Buf -- He's got 4 catches in each of the last 3 weeks.  He's got 2 scores in his last 4 games, all against pretty decent competition.  He visits Dallas, who were carved up on underneath stuff against Philly last week.  He's probably and every-week starter at this point, though a low-end one.  But at 61% availability, you can definitely do worse.

Damian Williams, WR, Ten -- This team is just looking cursed right now.  They lose their best wideout just a couple of games into a spectacular start to the season.  Their $60million back decides to take a vacation for a season.  Then his replacement goes down this past week.  Williams, while not great, looked lively at least in replacing Nate Washington.  And he gets the soft Carolina defense.  Tennessee will probably be looking to uncork CJ0K this week against a laughably bad Carolina team.  But don't underestimate the passing game against a team selling out to stop the run.

Earl Bennett, WR, Chi -- He is clearly the best receiver on this team.  Or, at the very least, the most productive. And Jay Cutler loves this man like a brother, so he's going to keep getting opportunities.  At least as long as Roy E. Williams, Devin Hester, Dane Sanzenbacher, and Johnny Knox are dropping good passes like they're bad habits, he'll continue to have massive fantasy value.

Austin Pettis, WR, StL -- You're really getting desperate now.  This is the third strong slot WR on a bad team on a downturn.  But he's also one of a very few WRs available on this bad team right now.  Most of the others have either gone down with injury or ineffectiveness.  Cleveland is far from the worst place to start off either.  He could have a respectable PPR game if you need him.

Brent Celek, TE, Phi -- Nothing quiet about this guy.  He's Vick's safety valve, and he's been using it early and often recently.  With 18 catches for over 200 yards and 2 scores over the last 3 games, I believe he'll continue to be a useful Fantasy asset as long as opposing defenses are focusing on taking away the home run play.

Jake Ballard, TE, NYG -- Ballard has been quietly effective the last 4 games.  16 catches, 275 yards, 2 scores.  Be careful, though, as he's traveling to the incredibly good San Fransisco defense this week.  Opportunity tends to override matchup for TEs, though.  Unless you've got a Golden Boy TE, Ballard is probably worth a flyer.

This FanPost was written by a Windy City Gridiron member, and does not necessarily reflect the ideas or opinions of its staff or community.

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Ok here we go let me hear what you think.

WR2 -opposite Mike Wallace
Plax
Djax
Bennett

TE
Ballard
Winslow

DEF
Bears
49ers

Someone once called Mr. T, Mr. Coffee...his body was found in a dumpster shortly after.

by Ditkavsworld on Nov 9, 2011 11:22 AM CST reply actions  

To be clear pick one from each categoy the most popular I get I will start.

Someone once called Mr. T, Mr. Coffee...his body was found in a dumpster shortly after.

by Ditkavsworld on Nov 9, 2011 11:23 AM CST up reply actions  

Interesting.....

Opposite Wallace I’d go Djax because the Arizona secondary sucks and is always getting torched.

At the TE position I’d go Ballard just because he’s been targeted frequently these past couple of weeks and since the Niners have a solid secondary there should be a lot of underneath throws for him.

On D I’d go Niners because Eli is still a guy that can turn the ball over a bunch even though I have a good feeling the Bears D will be pretty solid this week as well.

Just my opinions and I should in no way be held responsible for any terrible performances by these people this week lol

by frenchbears113 on Nov 9, 2011 1:36 PM CST up reply actions  

Hard to do

without knowing your scoring system.

For instance, if you didn’t know that this is the system that my league uses, could you make a good call for me? :)

"Perfection is not attainable,
but if we chase perfection we can catch excellence."

"It's a great day to be great, baby!"

Skol is a four-letter word.

by NorthStarr on Nov 12, 2011 6:40 PM CST up reply actions  

My response

For WR, DJax by a wide margin. Arizona has a soft secondary, and while Jackson’s struggled lately, he’s still been getting targeted fairly often. He’s a very inconsistent player in terms of production, but he’s eventually going to break through have that huge game, and you don’t want him on the bench when that happens.

At TE, I’ll go with Winslow. I don’t like Ballard’s matchup against the 49ers, and he’ll probably see less targets with Hakeem Nicks back in the lineup.

For D, I’ll take the 49ers. Calvin Johnson probably scares me more than any other player in the league.

Pat Riley is the devil.

by Poloplaya14 on Nov 10, 2011 1:20 AM CST up reply actions  

Interesting take and you make some solid points.

Someone once called Mr. T, Mr. Coffee...his body was found in a dumpster shortly after.

by Ditkavsworld on Nov 10, 2011 12:16 PM CST up reply actions  

need WR help

I have:

Sidney Rice
Early Doucet
Mario Manningham
Reggie Wayne
Eric Decker

who would you all cut and replace with the waiver WR listed above?

Let us cavort like the Greeks of old! You know the ones I mean.

by hedonism bot on Nov 9, 2011 1:00 PM CST reply actions  

Antonio Brown definitely. He's been targeted a lot these past few weeks and now that Sanders and Ward are out his stock will go up even more.

Laurent Robinson is pretty solid and now that Miles Austin is out he’ll be the default #2 guy in Dallas. I wouldn’t drop Manningham but the rest are average at best given their situations and even though Decker has been solid, the Donkeys are going to be running A LOT more now so he may not get a lot of opportunities for big yards but he may be a decent red-zone guy.

by frenchbears113 on Nov 9, 2011 1:30 PM CST up reply actions  

I agree on Antonio Brown, with Laurent Robinson as a failsafe

As for who you currently have, the only guy I would drop is Early Doucet. Rice, Manningham, Wayne and Decker aren’t great, but I think they are all decent options who pass as flex starters, or even WR2s depending on the matchup. I would take each of them over a Laurent Robinson or Earl Bennett.

Pat Riley is the devil.

by Poloplaya14 on Nov 10, 2011 1:26 AM CST up reply actions  

I dropped Wayne long ago and haven't regretted it

Excluding week 1, his season high is 7 points (standard scoring formats), which he only managed once. I’d bet any amount of money that Laurent Robinson, Antonio Brown, Bennett, and even Damian Williams will outscore him for the rest of the season.

by runningman on Nov 12, 2011 11:54 AM CST up reply actions  

I picked up Robinson last week.

Starting him this week.

"Perfection is not attainable,
but if we chase perfection we can catch excellence."

"It's a great day to be great, baby!"

Skol is a four-letter word.

by NorthStarr on Nov 12, 2011 6:42 PM CST up reply actions  

It kinda depends on what your season's looking like.

No matter what, Antonio Brown is a necessary pickup. He’ll be a borderline WR2 the rest of the year. Pitt likes him, Ben likes him, and he’s pretty darn talented.

As far as the other guys, it really depends on how your season’s going. If you’re solidly into the playoffs already, then plan for weeks 14-16. Look at the matchups that way, and assume that players with minor injuries (like Austin) are going to be back. If you’re fighting for a playoff spot, you have no time to be cautious about best player for the playoffs. You need points now. Robinson will be a WR2 this week and probably next week, at the very worst. I’m not a fan of Eric Decker because of his QB situation. I also think that Earl will do more for you than Early right now, but maybe not in the playoff weeks.

If you’re in a Keeper league, you need to have Earl on your team for next year. He’ll be an 800/8 WR next season, and that’s tough to find in the 14th round.

by Doshi on Nov 10, 2011 8:35 AM CST up reply actions  

So I have a whopper of a dilemma..... Should I start Fred Jackson against a pretty solid but beatable Cowboys D or should I start DeMarco Murray who's been legit these past few weeks?

My other starter is Arian Foster but in my league we can only start 2 RB’s. For some reason our commissioner eliminated the flex for an extra WR spot so I can’t start both.

by frenchbears113 on Nov 13, 2011 11:04 AM CST reply actions  

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