(Editor's note: Promoted to the front page)
What started out as a mini-project of gauging the various mocks accuracy, ended up showing some extremely talented UFDAs that Da Bears should target.
These are the ten UDFAs and after the jump, I will explain how I ended up with these players.
- Chris L. Rucker, CB
- Kristofer O'Dowd, OC
- Zach Hurd, OG
- Terrance Toliver, WR
- DeAndre McDaniel, SS
- Chas Henry, P
- Tim Barnes, OC
- Josh Bynes, ILB
- David Mims, OT
- Deunta Williams, SS
In the uploaded Excel sheet here, there are three worksheets: DraftStatus, UDFA and Bears. DraftStatus contains the draftboards from 4 of my favorite mock sites: NFP (Wes Bunting), Mocking the Draft (Dan Kadar), DrafTek and ProFootballWeekly. Then I added the actual draft as it turned out. By each mock, in the column "Picked", there is a simple Vlookup formula to the draft which returns the actual pick right next to where the mock had him ranked. This allowed me to easily locate players that went undrafted.
Additionally, by the actual draft I added a column for each mock, and again using the Vlookup, I was able to see how each pick was graded by the various mocks. An additional column averaged out the rankings from the four mocks which was then subtracted from the actual rank to receive some sort of value/reach number. For example, our own Gabe Carimi was averaged to be picked in the 21st spot and went at 29 so this pick was a +8. Chris Conte who wasn't supposed to be picked at all by NFP didn't even receive a value. (this has to be fixed when there will be time). But what clearly shows is that James Carpenter was the biggest reach in the 1st round, and that Jonas Mouton was even a bigger shocker than Chris Conte.
A note of warning is that if any of the mocks spelled a name different than the others or than the Draft itself, the formula won't do it's job. If anyone notices it, please comment and I will fix it when I can.
The UDFA worksheet then takes all the non drafted players and lined them up per ranking. If a player was ranked differently by different mocks, only the higher ranking was left. I also played a little with the positions as the different mocks had the same player at different positions. I only took positions that in my opinion are of interest to the Bears – no QB and no TE.
In the Bears worksheet, I picked based on grading and position of need who I think the Bears should go after strongly to sign and tryout.