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Fantasy Football: Wide Receivers

Since we closed out my Running Back list on Tuesday, I figured we might as well keep the ball rolling and knock down the last run of Wide Receiver evaluations before the season starts.

Star-divide

Just like with RBs, you can look here to see where I used to stand. Some movement has moved some guys around on my board, so "bear" with me once again.

Just like last time, only without the typo, guys I like MORE in PPR leagues get an asterisk (*) after their name. Some receivers live off of big plays and yards per catch, some do the dirt work and put up silly catch numbers, and its important to know which is which. Remember, we are assuming a 12 team league here.

1st Round WRs: Roddy White*, Andre Johnson, Larry Fitzgerald*

2nd Round WRs: Calvin Johnson, Greg Jennings, Reggie Wayne*, Miles Austin, Vincent Jackson

3rd Round WRs: Hakeem Nicks, Dwayne Bowe, Jeremy Maclin, Mike Wallace

4th Round WRs: DeSean Jackson, Brandon Lloyd, Mike Williams (TB), Marques Colston, Steve Johnson*

5th Round WRs: Wes Welker*, Santonio Holmes, Anquan Boldin, Brandon Marshall*, Malcolm Floyd

6th-7th Round WRs:Austin Collie, Dez Bryant, Percy Harvin, Santana Moss*, Steve Smith (CAR), Roy Williams, Chad Ochocinco, Michael Crabtree, Mike Sims-Walker

8th-9th Round WRs: Johnny Knox, Sidney Rice, Pierre Garcon, Deion Branch, Hines Ward, Steve Breaston

Late Round Selections: Steve Smith (NYG), Kenny Britt, Mario Manningham, Julio Jones, Mike Thomas, Lance Moore, Braylon Edwards, James Jones, Robert Meachem, Jerome Simpson, Mike Williams (SEA), Plaxico Burress, Davone Bess*, Louis Murphy, Earl Bennett, Danny Amendola*, A.J. Green

Sleepers: Call me crazy, but I see a nice year for Mike Sims-Walker in a weak division with a young and growing QB. I also believe in the Roy Williams comeback, a Chad Ochocinco explosion, an Earl Bennett uprising and some James Jones breakthrough in GB. Michael Crabtree may finally have a season worth remembering, too.

Some Thoughts: If you are buying a pass catcher in Oakland, make it Louis Murphy not Jacoby Ford. Don't sleep on Percy Harvin with McNabb in town, even if he isn't what he used to be, he got the ball to Moss plenty in Washington. I believe that guys who get 100+ targets are always worth owning unless you know someone knew will be taking those targets (like Sims-Walker stealing from Amendola, Williams stealing from Knox, T.O. being teamless, etc). If you think I am a homer for listing all the Chicago receivers remember this: The Bears will throw 500 or so passes, Olsen is gone, and at least two guys will get close to or in excess of 100 targets...Plenty to be worth owning. Until you know who, its worth a receiver spot to hold onto any of them. My guess is Bennett and Williams. I normally hate on rookie wide receivers, but Julio Jones will get 80+ targets this year, the Falcons paid too much to not feature him and handed him Jenkins job.

Some (more) Thoughts: A lot of fantasy drafters are emotional, which lets those who aren't get great value in the draft. Guys who "disappointed" last year by having good seasons that didn't meet expectations will be available 1-2 rounds later than they should be...In this case, I mean Larry Fitzgerald, Brandon Marshall, Chad Ochocinco, Anquan Boldin, Santonio Holmes, Wes Welker....

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Devin Hester, Johnny Knox, Earl Bennet, Roy Williams

and Dane Sanzebacher…boom got all my WR’s for my fantasy draft

"Word of advice, don’t join, Bears fans are crazy."--- D-Jackfan10

by ThorCo on Aug 5, 2011 1:20 PM CDT reply actions  

lol...

"just as Gary Fencik will go down as the last person to catch a Joe Namath pass, Wootton will be remembered in NFL history as the last player to sack Brett Favre." - John "Moon" Mullin

by Brendan Hess on Aug 5, 2011 1:25 PM CDT up reply actions  

I regularly finish in the top 6 in my league

out of 6

"Word of advice, don’t join, Bears fans are crazy."--- D-Jackfan10

by ThorCo on Aug 5, 2011 1:28 PM CDT up reply actions  

I picked up Dwayne Bowe off waiver wires

after he had that monster stretch. He rewarded me by having two straight games scoring a combined ONE point, effectively eliminating me from the playoffs.

WRs are so hard to pick out (at least for me anyway)

by NorthSideBearsFan on Aug 5, 2011 1:47 PM CDT reply actions  

if receiver

play was your downfall you mightve had some other issues with your team lol

More like Gabe Cadreamy <3

by comebackkirk12 on Aug 5, 2011 1:55 PM CDT up reply actions  

And, on a completely different subject...

I just got offered Arian Foster for LeGarette Blount and my 2nd round draft pick this year. Since this is a Keeper league, it’s essentially my 13th pick, my second pick, and a Keeper slot for Foster. Worth it?

by Doshi on Aug 5, 2011 2:52 PM CDT reply actions  

What number

pick do you have—are you giving up the 13th overall pick or your 13th rounder?

If you are in a ppr league I would do it for sure. In a non-ppr league it’s a closer call. Depends a little on how many keepers you have and what kind of player would typicallly be available where you are picking in the second.

DEJESUS!!!

by tomas21 on Aug 5, 2011 3:08 PM CDT up reply actions  

13th rounder.

Non-PPR. Don’t know the draft order yet. I think it’ll be randomly generated an hour before the actual draft. But it’s a 12 player league. And very few people will keep a player that won’t outperform that draft ranking. So nobody’s keeping a Tom Brady, for example, as he’ll probably be a 3rd round draft pick anyway. They’ll mostly keep last year’s rookies, players moving into desirable situations, or guys that significantly overperformed their draft position last year.

Blount was Undrafted, so he’ll cost me a 13th. I’m also Keeping Miles Austin with my 10th round pick and likely Austin Collie or Marshawn Lynch with my 12th rounder. I’ll see where I end up in the drafting order…

by Doshi on Aug 5, 2011 4:14 PM CDT up reply actions  

Wish they did...

I was 11th out of 12 last season. That would’ve made the trade impossibly easy to make. A #2 overall draft pick AND Arian Foster? Seriously? I’ll take that every day of the bloody week.

by Doshi on Aug 5, 2011 4:56 PM CDT up reply actions  

I dont think Collie is worth keeping.

He is another concussion away from being done. Lynch is the guy and not a fan of him but what he will cost you makes him a keeper

Where the white women at?
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jGQ-ISsDm8M

by parkernutws05 on Aug 6, 2011 12:13 AM CDT up reply actions  

where do you pick in the 1st?

"just as Gary Fencik will go down as the last person to catch a Joe Namath pass, Wootton will be remembered in NFL history as the last player to sack Brett Favre." - John "Moon" Mullin

by Brendan Hess on Aug 5, 2011 6:24 PM CDT up reply actions  

Dunno.

Random TBD about an hour before the actual draft.

by Doshi on Aug 6, 2011 7:42 AM CDT up reply actions  

Andre Johnson

should have an asterix. He catches 100 balls a year.

I also don’t think Dez Bryant is going to last until the 6th-7th round in a lot of drafts, he is flying up.

DEJESUS!!!

by tomas21 on Aug 5, 2011 3:04 PM CDT reply actions  

except when he doesn't :)

I don’t much care where Dez gets drafted, I won’t be touching him this year. I think everyone is overpaying on Cowboys hype there. He is an injury risk, with motivation issues, who is the 3rd target on a yet to recover ball club.

"just as Gary Fencik will go down as the last person to catch a Joe Namath pass, Wootton will be remembered in NFL history as the last player to sack Brett Favre." - John "Moon" Mullin

by Brendan Hess on Aug 5, 2011 6:25 PM CDT up reply actions  

fair enough

I am still haunted by his injury plagued days and have him at #2 on my list….but they are both first round WRs, and you can’t go wrong.

"just as Gary Fencik will go down as the last person to catch a Joe Namath pass, Wootton will be remembered in NFL history as the last player to sack Brett Favre." - John "Moon" Mullin

by Brendan Hess on Aug 5, 2011 10:57 PM CDT up reply actions  

and...

the only thing that scares me more than his injuries are those of his QBs.

"just as Gary Fencik will go down as the last person to catch a Joe Namath pass, Wootton will be remembered in NFL history as the last player to sack Brett Favre." - John "Moon" Mullin

by Brendan Hess on Aug 5, 2011 10:58 PM CDT up reply actions  

side note...

in the RB article I was called crazy for downgrading McFadden because of my fears regarding his health…

“According to multiple media reports, Oakland Raiders running back Darren McFadden has fractured an orbital bone, an injury that some believe occurred during blocking drills in practice on Thursday.

McFadden is only expected to miss about two weeks, so Raider fans and fantasy owners alike can breathe a sigh of relief."

Just sayin, its an annual thing, he can’t stay healthy. Big player when he’s on the field, but you are drafting a player for 75% of the season, not 100%.

"just as Gary Fencik will go down as the last person to catch a Joe Namath pass, Wootton will be remembered in NFL history as the last player to sack Brett Favre." - John "Moon" Mullin

by Brendan Hess on Aug 5, 2011 7:13 PM CDT reply actions  

I think you have Nicks too low

He’s a beast and will become Eli’s #1 option again this season. Welker should be vaulted cause of the rediculous amount of catches he gets underneath.

Bowe is overrated cause he’s very inconsistent (did most of his damage in six games last year).

Other than that, I like your list.

"All we needed was a ladder, some tennis balls and a timer. My uncle is old-school." - Henry Melton

by propheteer on Aug 5, 2011 11:45 PM CDT reply actions  

some have Nicks in the second

I have him as my 28th overall player (thus, 3rd round). I think he is a guy that played well but a lot of people are putting some heavy expectations on him. I would put it this way myself:

I will take Roddy White, Andre Johnson, Larry Fitzgerald, Calvin Johnson, Greg Jennings, Reggie Wayne, Miles Austin, and Vincent Jackson ahead of him. There are a couple of QBs I’d draft before him, and a bunch of RBs. He is a “low” #1, preferably a #2, because one year does not a player make. We will see though, I am excited to see the kid play. Bowe is inconsistent. Welker, in non-IDP leagues is a #3 receiver. He doesn’t score a lot of touchdowns (most years) and often settles in at or under 1000 yards. In PPR he is a solid #2. I rode him and White to a championship in a PPR league.

"just as Gary Fencik will go down as the last person to catch a Joe Namath pass, Wootton will be remembered in NFL history as the last player to sack Brett Favre." - John "Moon" Mullin

by Brendan Hess on Aug 5, 2011 11:54 PM CDT up reply actions  

Different preferences

Everyone is going to have their favorites in FF. In the end though, I think he has a better year than Austin/Wayne/Jennings. Wayne is old and no longer a big play guy, while Austin may rotate weeks with Bryant, and Jennings has a lot of competition now that the Packers offense is packed with talent (and Rodgers penchant for spreading the ball around). I’m down on Jennings cause he was a big disappointment for me two years ago.

"All we needed was a ladder, some tennis balls and a timer. My uncle is old-school." - Henry Melton

by propheteer on Aug 6, 2011 12:36 AM CDT up reply actions  

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