Extrapolated Stats: Week 2

by David Taylor on Sep 19, 2011 1:00 PM CDT in Notes

A few things jumped out at me when looking at this weeks stats extrapolation. The Chicago Bears Run/Pass Ratio in week one was 27/32, or 432/512 over the course of the season. And while Matt Forte bumped up his yards per carry number a little (4.3 to 4.5) due to a nice 42 yard scamper, Mike Martz dialed up significantly less rushing plays. Resulting in a predictable offense that increased on it's staggering sack total extrapolated from week one (80 to 88).

Despite all of the negatives you can see in the table below the fold, there are a few silver linings (if you want to call them that). First being Charles Tillman's second straight week with a forced fumble. Keeping him on pace for a gaudy stat line of 16 forced fumbles this season. Also, Israel Idonije was the sole recipient of the only sack allowed by the New Orleans Saints defense, putting him in line to match his last years sacks total.

Jump with me to see this weeks stats extrapolation, and use the comments section to tell us what pops out at you.

[+] and [-] indicate a change in the previous week's extrapolation.

TEAM STATISTICS
	Bears	Opponents
TOTAL FIRST DOWNS	280 [+]	288 [-]
THIRD DOWN CONVERSIONS	64/224 (0.286) [-]	96/240 (0.400) [+]
RUN/PASS RATIO	312/616 [-/+]	344/672 [+/-]
RUSHING YARDS	1184 [-]	1824 [+]
PASSING YARDS	3800 [-]	4320 [-]
SACKS	48 [-]	88 [+]
TURNOVERS	16	32 [-]

PASSING STATISTICS
Player	Comp	Att	%	Yds	TD	%	INT	%	Rating
Jay Cutler	328 [-]	616 [+]	53.2 [-]	4448 [-]	24 [-]	3.9 [-]	8 [-]	1.3 [-]	84.1 [-]

RUSHING STATISTICS
Player	Att	Yds	Yds/Att	TD
Matt Forte	208 [-]	936 [-]	4.5 [+]	0
Kahlil Bell	88 [-]	184 [-]	2.1 [-]	0
Jay Cutler	8 [+]	96 [+]	12.0 [+]	0
End Around	8 [-]	-32 [-]	-4.0	0

RECEIVING STATISTICS
Player	Rec	Yds	Yds/Rec	TD
Matt Forte	120 [+]	1656 [+]	13.8 [-]	8 [-]
Johnny Knox	40 [-]	840 [-]	21.0 [+]	0
Devin Hester	32 [-]	616 [-]	19.3 [-]	0
Roy Williams	32 [-]	440 [-]	13.8	0
Dane Sanzenbacher	32 [+]	312 [+]	9.8 [+]	8 [+]
Earl Bennett	24 [-]	160 [-]	6.7 [+]	0
Kellen Davis	16 [-]	184 [-]	11.5	0
Matt Spaeth	16 [-]	56 [-]	3.5	8 [-]
Sam Hurd	8 [+]	104 [+]	13.0 [+]	0
Tyler Clutts	8 [+]	80 [+]	10.0 [+]	0

DEFENSE STATISTICS
Player	Solo	Assist	Sack	FF	FR	TD	INT	TD
Tim Jennings	112	24 [+]	0.0	0	0	0	0	0
Lance Briggs	96 [+]	16	0.0	0	0	0	0	0
Brian Urlacher	64 [-]	40 [+]	0.0	0	8 [-]	8 [-]	8 [-]	0
Charles Tillman	64 [+]	24 [-]	0.0	16	8 [+]	0	0	0
Major Wright	56 [+]	16	0.0	0	0	0	0	0
Nick Roach	40 [+]	16	0.0	0	0	0	0	0
Israel Idonije	32 [+]	40 [+]	8.0 [+]	0	0	0	0	0
D.J. Moore	32 [-]	24 [-]	0.0	0	0	0	0	0
Henry Melton	32 [-]	8 [-]	16.0 [-]	0	0	0	0	0
Craig Steltz	24 [+]	8 [+]	0.0	0	0	0	0	0
Julius Peppers	24 [-]	8 [-]	16.0 [-]	8 [-]	0	0	0	0
Amobi Okoye	24 [+]	8 [+]	8.0 [-]	0	0	0	0	0
Brandon Meriweather	16	32 [+]	0.0	0	0	0	0	0
Anthony Adams	16 [-]	8 [+]	0.0	0	0	0	0	0
Corey Graham	16 [-]	8 [-]	0.0	0	0	0	0	0
Chris Harris	16 [-]	8 [-]	0.0	0	0	0	0	0
Zack Bowman	16 [+]	0	0.0	0	0	0	0	0
Chris Conte	16 [+]	0	0.0	0	0	0	0	0
Dom DiCicco	8 [+]	8 [+]	0.0	0	0	0	0	0
Winston Venable	8 [+]	0	0.0	0	0	0	0	0
Nick Reed	8 [+]	0	0.0	0	0	0	0	0
Roberto Garza	8 [+]	0	0.0	0	0	0	0	0
Brian Iwuh	8 [-]	0	0.0	0	0	0	0	0
Matt Toeaina	0	32 [+]	0.0	0	0	0	0	0

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Comments

First thing that jumps out at me

is that we need a few more guys to become disgruntled at their contracts and start playing like Briggs and Forte,

As a result of the NBA going dark and staging a lockout I plan on saying only depressing things until the season starts. If they put out the schedule I plan to also go and sit in the Arco parking lot on nights games would have been played. I will Tivo CSN on games nights. They can't stop me. Its my team and I'll cry if I want to, cry if I want to.

by ElRonToro on Sep 19, 2011 1:48 PM CDT reply actions

Wright breakes down playcalling per down

mikecwright Michael C. Wright
On first down this season, Bears have passed 34 times and run 23 times.

mikecwright Michael C. Wright
On second down, the Bears have passed 27 times and run 14 times.

mikecwright Michael C. Wright
On third down the Bears have run once and thrown 27 times. See a pattern here?

When choosing between offensive plays, I always pick the pass play....

- mike martz on his play calling

by CloudyFuture on Sep 19, 2011 2:14 PM CDT reply actions

Stop making sense.

We have no room for your logic at WCG.

Above all; keep 'em guessing, never let them lose their sense of confusion.

by Just Dave on Sep 19, 2011 2:19 PM CDT up reply actions

Yeah

On the “tee off” on our QB down, they’ve run a total of one time?!

What defensive coordinator in their right mind would ever leave a LB in the middle of field? Martz sucks.

"All we needed was a ladder, some tennis balls and a timer. My uncle is old-school." - Henry Melton

by propheteer on Sep 19, 2011 9:36 PM CDT up reply actions

Personally I think this stats extrapolation

is useless drivel. But I was nauseated by the play-calling vs Saints. What’s that old adage: take what the defense gives you? Martz must hate Cutler, cuz he’s trying to have him killed.

Often Wrong, Never In Doubt.

by Gromowicz on Sep 19, 2011 2:58 PM CDT reply actions

So useless you read it and chimed in!

winner winner chicken dinner!

Whenever Mike Ditka boards an aircraft, it changes its call sign to Bear Force One.

by Lester A. Wiltfong Jr. on Sep 19, 2011 3:34 PM CDT up reply actions

I read everything on WCG

I can’t help myself. And most of it is soooooooo gooooooood!

Often Wrong, Never In Doubt.

by Gromowicz on Sep 20, 2011 12:13 AM CDT up reply actions

If you don't like our drivel.

Don’t read our drivel. But please leave our drivel alone. Sincerely,
The Davids.

Above all; keep 'em guessing, never let them lose their sense of confusion.

by Just Dave on Sep 19, 2011 3:52 PM CDT up reply actions

Leave your drivel at the door please

Tillman is definitely going to have 16 forced fumbles for the year.

"All we needed was a ladder, some tennis balls and a timer. My uncle is old-school." - Henry Melton

by propheteer on Sep 19, 2011 9:37 PM CDT up reply actions

You post drivel

I will call it drivel. I didn’t say I didn’t like it!

Often Wrong, Never In Doubt.

by Gromowicz on Sep 20, 2011 12:15 AM CDT up reply actions

fair enough.

Above all; keep 'em guessing, never let them lose their sense of confusion.

by Just Dave on Sep 20, 2011 9:36 AM CDT up reply actions

Drivel?

You mean to tell me that Urlacher’s not gonna get 16 takeaways and 8 defensive touchdowns? Shame on you for not taking stat extrapolations seriously.

-------
cheekymonkeyart.com | Follow me on: twitter | facebook | tumblr

by David Taylor on Sep 19, 2011 4:06 PM CDT up reply actions

I think the actual term is

statrapolations. And it has been added to the official Dilfer Power Rankings formula…

Often Wrong, Never In Doubt.

by Gromowicz on Sep 20, 2011 12:16 AM CDT up reply actions

Whoa...

Rex’d. No. Just… no.

Weekend contributor and official editorial lackey/waitstaff at Windy City Gridiron
If a people-avoiding gaming hermit is on Twitter, I should be too. Follow me!

by Steven Schweickert on Sep 20, 2011 7:26 AM CDT up reply actions

If that's the case...

Whenever Mike Ditka boards an aircraft, it changes its call sign to Bear Force One.

by Lester A. Wiltfong Jr. on Sep 20, 2011 9:18 AM CDT up reply actions

lol

WCG's Resident Nickelback and Boy Band fan

Also rated Worst WCG Blogger by Dr. Steven Schweickert's extensive "Total BR" (Blogger Rating)

by ThorCo on Sep 19, 2011 6:25 PM CDT up reply actions

Forte

is a no. 1 receiver in this league.
BOOYAH!

by BOBdaBEAR on Sep 19, 2011 3:19 PM CDT reply actions

~2600 yards from scrimmage.

Man amongst boys!

-------
cheekymonkeyart.com | Follow me on: twitter | facebook | tumblr

by David Taylor on Sep 19, 2011 4:06 PM CDT up reply actions

My fantasy teams agree.

by Doshi on Sep 19, 2011 4:41 PM CDT up reply actions

88 sacks

Good lord Cutler is going to have internal bleeding before this season ends…

Arizona Cardinals/Chicago Bears fan
Phoenix Suns, Arizona Diamondbacks, Phoenix Coyotes, Arizona Rattlers fan
[I have always lived in Arizona, dad is from Chicago].

Leading the NFL in swagtangibles

by JoeCB1991 on Sep 19, 2011 5:58 PM CDT reply actions

I know, it doesn't matter

because it’s all extrapolated with two games worth of stats but I would like to point out that there is an outside, very, very remote chance, that Forte has a shot at an 1,000/1,000 season.

Of course that would require more than 10 rushes a game, unless he just goes CRAZY with those 10 attempts.

Jay Cutler is still my quarterback.
Formerly GallopingGhost

by Sam Householder on Sep 20, 2011 8:30 AM CDT reply actions