Chicago Bears Statistical Extrapolation - 2012: Week 4

Matthew Emmons-US PRESSWIRE - Presswire

Kyle Orton makes our defense less good, and Kellen Davis catches all the scoreless touchdowns. Statistical extrapolations after the fourth week in the season.

Bears Opponents
THIRD DOWN CONVERSIONS 80/212 (0.315) 48/184 (0.243)
RUN/PASS RATIO 472/468 296/664
RUSHING YARDS (YPA / YPG) 1,616 (3.4 / 101) 1,076 (3.6 / 67)
PASSING YARDS (YPR / YPG) 3,304 (7.8 / 207) 3,992 (6.6 / 249.5)
SACKS 60 52
OFFENSIVE TURNOVERS 28 (24 INT / 4 FUM) 60 (44 INT / 16 FUM)

Player Comp Att % Yds TD % INT % Rating
Jay Cutler 268 468 57.3 3,668 20 4.3 24 5.1 75.3

Player Att Yds Yds/Att FUM TD
Michael Bush 216 720 3.3 0 12
Matt Forte 144 652 4.5 0 4
Kahlil Bell 48 128 2.7 0 0
Jay Cutler 48 104 2.2 4 0

Player Rec Yds Yds/Rec TD
Brandon Marshall 92 1,408 15.3 8
Alshon Jeffrey 48 656 13.7 4
Matt Forte 32 344 10.8 0
Kellen Davis 24 412 17.2 4
Earl Bennett 24 328 13.7 0
Devin Hester 20 260 13.0 4
Michael Bush 12 104 8.7 0

Tackles (Solo) Lance Briggs (88), D.J. Moore (72), Chris Conte (64), Major Wright (56), Brian Urlacher / Charles Tillman / Tim Jennings (52)
Sacks Henry Melton (16), Israel Idonije / Julius Peppers (10), Shea McClellin (8), Corey Wootton (6), Amobi Okoye / Nick Roach (4), Stephen Paea (2)
Interceptions Tim Jennings (16), Major Wright (12), Lance Briggs / Chris Conte / Charles Tillman / DJ Moore (4)
Fumbles Lance Briggs / Charles Tillman / Corey Wootton / J.T. Thomas (4)

A few things that stuck out to me:

  • Mike Tice continues to call an incredibly balanced, albeit sometimes predictable, offense.
  • Our opponents do not. The run-to-pass ratio actually became more unbalanced (if you can believe that) from 320 / 603 last week to 296 / 664 this one. I would expect that to change this week, as Chicago's defense faces off against one of the league's best ball carriers.
  • In one game, our defense went from giving up around 200 to 250 passing yards per game. A lot of those came in garbage time with that hall-of-famer Orkman guy slinging the rock, but still.
  • Our defense continues to amaze me. They are currently on pace for 60 sacks and 60 turnovers. In addition, they are only allowing an impressive 67 yards on the ground and 249 yards through the air per game.
  • Tim Jennings deserved every bit of his Defensive Player of the Month award. In one of the biggest surprises of the year, Jennings has turned into a shut down corner that QBs should thing twice before testing.
  • We now have a nickel back and two safeties in three of the top four positions at the tackle statistic. I'm really trying to convince myself that it's only because of the sheer numbers of passes, and that it's nothing to be concerned with.
  • I really wish they would have sat Forte for another week or two. Maybe brought him back after our week six bye. He looked hesitant throughout the game, and that first rush where he came up hobbled was a bit alarming. Lot of football left to be played. No need to rush him back, imo.
  • Devin Hester is still not a receiver. Don't get me wrong, he had a couple plays where he made Dallas' secondary look just plain silly. But an every down ball catcher he is not. Please, please, take him out of goal line situations.
  • Kellen "scores every time he touches the ball" Davis is on pace for 24 receptions and only 4 touchdowns. What in the world is wrong with our $3mm per year tight end? I figured 24 receptions was at least good for around 42 or 43 touchdowns.

That's it for this week. Sound off in the comments to tell us what popped out to you.

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