Because I said so.
Sorry, couldn't resist.
The Bears will beat the Texans because they are the better football team. How do I know that? Actually, it's just a feeling at this point. But I will make an effort to articulate it with The Gromowicz Ratings (TGR), a matrix of statistical data that I pull out of my posterior like all the rest of these experts who are wrong (hello, Hub Arkush) and still get paid next week.
1) The Bears are at home. It matters. But-but-but the Texans haven't lost on the road yet! Yeah, and they haven't played in Soldier Field, either. On Sunday Night. With the Chitown faithful sensing something special is happening... something possibly 85-ish.
2) Bears defense is playing at a very high level (ya think???). They toyed with the Titans last week. This week they won't toy; they will seek and destroy. Success breeds success. Confidence breeds confidence. The Texans D "think they bad." The Bears D is.
3) Cutler is due for another in his periodic series of "statement games." Like in Dallas a few weeks ago. He's tired of hearing that the D is carrying the O. He will play extremely well against the Texans. He will not come out flat, he will not throw WTF picks, he will scramble effectively and improvise as needed. Cutler is a better athlete and better passer than Jim McMahon - but he's a lot like McMahon in that he marches to the beat of his own drum. He can have an off night, he can have a bad series, he can look frustrated and as if he is phoning it in sometimes. But he knows what is at stake tomorrow night, and he knows this offense has been built for him (#15), and it is once again time for him to deliver. He will outplay Matt Schaub just as he outplayed Tony Romo.
4) Bears special teams have been getting better and better. It would not surprise me in the least if Hester took one to the house tomorrow night. You can bet Toub has been grinding the STs after they allowed #23 to be tackled on the 8 last week.
5) NFC is better than AFC. I've said this on a few other threads. I think the NFCN is the toughest division in football. Bears will show Texans what it's all about.
6) Bears will commit to the run, and it will pay off. Forte will break one or two 20+ yard runs, and finish with over 100 yards rushing. Bears will hold Foster to under 100 - it might be 99, but it will be under 100.
7) Texans are overconfident. They look at tape on #73 and #72, and they polish up their fanny-kickin' boots. They think they have this thing won. They will think it right up until they come out of the tunnel.
And then reality will set in.
It may be close, but Bears will win. Convincingly.