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The Curious Case of Whitney Mercilus

With Israel Idonije on the cusp of free agency and very few proven options on the roster outside of Julius Peppers, defensive end truly is a key need for the Bears' defense, and a name that's come up often recently is Illinois product Whitney Mercilus. Leaving aside my Sunday Video of the Day post, the Daily Herald says defensive linemen are ranked well above average in the draft "partly because Illinois defensive end Whitney Mercilus renounced his final season of eligibility after leading the nation with 16 sacks and 9 forced fumbles." Dan Pompei of the Tribune quoted an NFC personnel director as saying, "He is a very good athlete who clearly has all the tools." He won the Ted Hendricks Award as the nation's top defensive end and an NFL scout told the Sun-Times "Mercilus is a speed rusher with excellent athletic ability."

But even with that said, I'm not so sure Mercilus is a guy the Bears should target at #19 in the first round.

Star-divide

The first and probably biggest problem I have is that this last season was his first full season starting - prior to this year he had two sacks and two starts in his NCAA career. That's not much of a body of work. Coming out of high school, he was a two-star recruit who redshirted his freshman year. Not a guy that most were clamoring for - he picked Illinois over Kansas, Michigan State, Cincinnati and Purdue.

Second, his initial draft grade was as a third-round pick. A third-rounder isn't bad at all, far better than I could do, believe you me. But what exactly has he done since then to earn his mid-first-round stripes? Say things that sound good to NFL GMs? Perform well at the glorified track meet that is the NFL Combine?

Also in the Sun-Times article, his comparison is Jason Pierre-Paul. I have nothing against Jason Pierre-Paul at all, but not every player that comes out after one breakout year drafted in the middle of the first round will perform the same.

Last, let's go through his analysis per CBS Sports. As a pass rusher, he's a high motor guy with good speed and an ability to get into the pocket, but doesn't have the necessary power to play against the run, and isn't going to be able to get much more size on his frame. Ironically enough, I think the Bears drafted a similar player in 2010...

Uses his 6-7 frame, long arms and good quickness to blow by collegiate right tackles on the outside. Can be violent with his hands to get the corner. Some suddenness on shake move to use an inside rush lane. If his man doesn't sustain, [he] works his way back into the pocket to harass the quarterback.

...

Looks and plays a bit undersized, even at 265-270 pounds, because of height.

...

Very quick off the snap for his size, partially because his long steps make up ground quickly. Could be a penetrating disruptor as a pass rusher in a 3-4 scheme because of his initial quickness.

Hmm. 4-3 end/ 3-4 LB 'tweener with good pass rushing skills, a little lacking in the power department, with solid initial quickness? Sounds a little similar to Corey Wootton to me.

Obviously, judging by my former username, I'm an Illinois fan, and I enjoyed watching Mercilus this season. But I'm not sure I want to draft him with the Bears' first round pick. I know having only one year of starting in college isn't a precursor to draft doom or the Hall of Fame (paying attention, ESPN?), and I know that once the player is drafted, draft position is irrelevant, as is his high-school recruiting status, but I would have liked to see him stick around for his final year and solidify himself.

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I thought he was 6'4"?

Learn something new every day. Anyway, I wouldn’t be opposed to seeing Whitney Mercilus drafted in round 1, particularly if Israel Idonije returns as a starter once again. But, I also don’t want him drafted only to be given the starting job without competing for it at least. He would fit quite nicely as a 3rd down pass rusher, though.

Jay Cutler is our QB, and I for one am proud of that

Follow me @EDuerrwaechter

by Erik Christopher Duerrwaechter on Feb 29, 2012 9:18 PM CST reply actions  

Well he’s between 6’3" and 6’8", depending on which convenient store he’s leaving

Fix the Offensive Line

by touchdown bears on Mar 1, 2012 10:17 AM CST up reply actions  

I'm not a big fan of Mercilus at 19 either

There are other guys that I’d rather see us take who should be there in Nick Perry or Pete Konz.

The big thing that scares me about Mercilus is that it is well documented that he played in a defensive scheme that allowed him to consistently get favorable matchups. Because of this it’s hard to say whether he is as good as his 16 sacks would suggest or he is just a system guy.

"Friendship is two pals munching on a well cooked face together."
-Carl the Llama

by Joeb'n777 on Feb 29, 2012 9:24 PM CST via mobile reply actions  

Playing opposite Peppers is a favorable matchup.

So there’s that.

"You have a young group and if they start feeling too good about themselves, that’s not a good thing. So it’s my job not to let them. So probably they will hate me. But that’s OK too. My wife hates me and she’s still married to me." - Mike Tice

by badsamaritan on Feb 29, 2012 10:44 PM CST up reply actions  

There is a difference between...

Getting one on ones by exploiting COLLEGE offensive linemen (the overwhelming majority of whom will never see an NFL starting lineup) with a blitz happy defensive scheme and lining up heads up against a starting NFL RT.

Also, correct me if I’m wrong here (which I very well could be) but I thought I remember hearing that Illinois runs a similar defensive scheme to the one that inflated Vernon Gholston’s numbers while he was at Ohio. I don’t watch Illinois but maybe twice a year at most so I’m not sure if this is true, but maybe some Illini fans could shed some light on this.

"Friendship is two pals munching on a well cooked face together."
-Carl the Llama

by Joeb'n777 on Feb 29, 2012 11:36 PM CST via mobile up reply actions  

On the plus side...

The Big 10 is known for producing NFL-quality linemen. More than just about any other conference. Every year, there’s at least one (if not 2 or 3) Tackles from the Big 10 getting at least 2nd round reputation, if not higher.

by Doshi on Mar 1, 2012 10:22 AM CST up reply actions  

How many did he face this year though?

Mike Adams is the only guy who will be a 1st or 2nd day Tackle this year. Taylor Lewan of Michigan is gonna be a good one but is only a Sophmore and the LT for Wisconsin (his name escapes me) wisely decided to return.

"Friendship is two pals munching on a well cooked face together."
-Carl the Llama

by Joeb'n777 on Mar 1, 2012 12:08 PM CST via mobile up reply actions  

1 year wonder

Makes me wonder if he can follow the same path to the NFL as Pierre-Paul who experienced the same thing. Risky pick IMO in first round.

I hope Emery looks to play it safe even with the 1st round. Pete Konz or DeCosta would make me happy as well as a DB especially if the Alabama ones fall to us. Judging by the combine results I kinda doubt the Bears will be around to select Floyd unless they really like him and move up a couple slots (don’t wana see this).

by beartopia on Feb 29, 2012 9:24 PM CST reply actions  

I'm searching for how this may be relevant

not finding anything…
brownie points for humor, tho…

by BOBdaBEAR on Mar 1, 2012 6:09 AM CST up reply actions  

So are you suggesting...

That we DON’T need to improve the offensive line?

"Friendship is two pals munching on a well cooked face together."
-Carl the Llama

by Joeb'n777 on Mar 1, 2012 9:38 AM CST via mobile up reply actions  

I'm not sure either

But he does have an excellent name. Could we nickname him Ming?

by AdDEM on Mar 1, 2012 4:32 AM CST reply actions  

I'm of two minds about him...

It’s not like the Bears are drafting in the top 10, so the expectation that they will “waste” a #19 pick is a bit overly dramatic. If the Bears can get a starter at #19, that would be enough. That said, DE (just like WR) is such a gamble in the first round. I think that Mercilus is probably good enough to start in the NFL, but there is enough left to prove that the Bears would have to re-sign Izzy or get a vet FA DE to allow Mercilus to develop into a great pass rusher. IMO, his low mileage is a big plus and he fits the Bears DE mold; slightly undersized and fast. I do think Mercilus will end up a good/great DE and the Bears need both youth and bodies at the DE positions, but I’m not sure his floor is high enough not to consider looking at other players/positions at #19.

There's a fine line between stupid...and clever!

by LostInSTL on Mar 1, 2012 6:40 AM CST reply actions  

I’d pass on getting a DE in the first, and here is my reasoning. The Bears either do extremely well next year and Lovie gets an extension, or we fall apart, and he get’s fired. I say we sign Mathis, he knows the system, and step right in, maybe pick up a DE in the third round.

Fix the Offensive Line

by touchdown bears on Mar 1, 2012 10:22 AM CST up reply actions  

Not likely

They’ve been middle of the road or made the playoffs the past handful of seasons. I can’t see them falling apart if they add a #1 WR, TE, and possibly a OT (draft and free-agency). DE needs to be addressed for the present and future.

"I'm sore and I'm pissed off. I'm a baller. I want to feel the leather. I love thumb wars. 6-8 weeks? 6. follow me for healing, Jay Cutler does" - Jaysthumb twitter acct

by propheteer on Mar 1, 2012 12:08 PM CST up reply actions  

It might be down to whatever you can get at that spot according to the needs, or just as well trade out of it. We need someone to make a difference across Peps, he is good, but nobody can collapse the entire side of the pocket ,and get to the QB , without help from the other side.

by transylvanian bear on Mar 1, 2012 7:47 AM CST reply actions  

Bottom line is there are no sure things when it comes to the draft.

For every example of one-year wonders busting you can find one that became a serviceable starter. There are only so many stars and so many guys who become elite… I just want someone who can contribute early and become a starter at some point with the #19 pick.

Mercilus I would take if Ingram and Coples are off the board and we’ve adequately addressed WR in Free Agency (assuming someone huge like Kuechly or DeCastro doesn’t fall to us).

We will have a need at DE even with Idonije and especially without, and Mercilus measures well and seemed to put it all together last season for the Illini. He could be a one year wonder but he also could be a guy who developed late and is just starting to come into his own. Illinois was a terribly managed program and not all guys develop early in their college careers… so I’d lean towards the latter.

He also had a very solid combine and looked physically solid if I recall.

by IOftenPanic on Mar 1, 2012 8:12 AM CST reply actions  

I like him at 19

if they find his work ethic to be worthy. The guy’s got all the physical skill in the world and has everything you look for in a rushing end.

Not sure about the knock on his inability to defend the run, cause I saw great recognition in the couple of videos I saw.

"I'm sore and I'm pissed off. I'm a baller. I want to feel the leather. I love thumb wars. 6-8 weeks? 6. follow me for healing, Jay Cutler does" - Jaysthumb twitter acct

by propheteer on Mar 1, 2012 8:34 AM CST reply actions  

I like him too.

Potential targets at 19 include: Mercilus, Nick Perry (USC), Upshaw (Alabama), & Ingram (South Carolina). Ingram is probably gone by 19. There’s such a premium on pass rushing, that he’ll go top 15 or maybe even top 10.

I don’t think Floyd makes it to 19 either. I’m not a fan of Kendall Wright, Jeffrey at 19 either.

Pass rushers in the middle of round 1 can and do make impacts there rookie year. Since the Bears like to rotate linemen so much, this can help out a rookie DE even more by rotating him in for situations they know he can handle.

If Angelo was till here, we all know DE would be the target. With Emery, we just don’t know.

by Mike Mueller on Mar 1, 2012 9:12 AM CST up reply actions  

What about Poe? He's a beast.

Why bother about DE when we can just cave in the middle of their OL and let Peppers loose.

by Wally&Mac on Mar 2, 2012 6:08 AM CST up reply actions  

Mercilus would be nice, but I think in the second round

Possibly trade back, or trade up into the early second to get him.

I’d prefer to see an interior lineman in the first.

by Hawkeyes on Mar 1, 2012 9:40 AM CST reply actions  

I wouldn't be opposed to it but to be honest if they're going D in the 1st then personally I'd rather see them pick up Kuechly at LB or Kirkpatrick if either is available.

Kuechly showed that he indeed has the athleticism to play in the NFL and add his intelligence and awareness, sounds like a good Sam and future Mike LB to me. Also Kirkpatrick looked good in the drills and 40. This system doesn’t put THAT much of a precedence in man-to-man but he looks like he can and will beast in zone. To be honest he reminds me of a more athletic version of Peanut, which of course is not a bad thing. But I wouldn’t be ticked if they did draft Mercilus. I’ll just be a little skeptical.

by frenchbears113 on Mar 1, 2012 10:50 AM CST reply actions  

I'm really against Mercilus...

I’ve spent way too much time watching Illini games, and, he’s one of those guys who absolutely, absolutely, absolutely may have done better by spending another year at school.

The curious case is really: Vic Koenning and his scheme. Whereas JPP ran more traditional defensive alignment (and the tape really told much to his ability in tons of circumstances), Mercilus’ weaknesses I think were masked a lot by the system, especially in the run game, and his 3-3-5 was hyperagressive and created a lot of matchup problems & overload situations… That’s not how it’s going to be in the NFL by any stretch of imagination. So. Interesting.

Five foot three seems to thrive on his misery...

by awfullyquiet on Mar 1, 2012 2:36 PM CST reply actions  

The difference between OUR position though and the Giants position is...

The Giants had the DL in place to take a gamble on a solid talent… Mercilus is the high risk high reward type player that has a lot of question marks.

Five foot three seems to thrive on his misery...

by awfullyquiet on Mar 1, 2012 2:41 PM CST up reply actions  

i agree i saw a few games

if he can be had in the 2nd then why not though

by chiguy8506 on Mar 1, 2012 2:51 PM CST up reply actions  

I feel that's a much more respectable place for him.

Mid-Late 2nd.

DE’s are a hype position, for sure. I hope that Emery recognizes said hype and we draft realistically for the time.

I think this guy will probably fall as time goes by.

Five foot three seems to thrive on his misery...

by awfullyquiet on Mar 1, 2012 2:57 PM CST up reply actions  

Wooten had injury problems all through college

Mercilus hasn’t

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by suckmyditka on Mar 1, 2012 5:10 PM CST reply actions  

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