Trading Down in the NFL Draft: Should the Bears do it in 2013?

Al Bello

With the Bears sitting at the 20th pick and without a third round pick, should they explore trading down in the draft to pick up an extra draft pick?

It's no secret the Bears don't have a truly complete team and have quite a few holes they need to fill before they can make a run at the Super Bowl (and no, I'm not referring to the sieve that is the offensive line - at least, not completely). So, is trading down from the 20th pick a good idea for the Bears?

Let's consider for a second the logic behind a team trading up in the draft - you trade up to get a guy that your team really really likes or could be a true stud - oftentimes, these coincide. Then consider where the Bears are drafting, at 20. The twentieth pick isn't exactly the Island of Draft Pick Studs over here; you can find a good player there, to be sure, but players like Julio Jones and Robert Griffin III, the last two players teams traded a bounty of picks to pick up, don't often last to that point. Jones and Griffin sure didn't.

The players in that range look more like Shea McClellin, Kendall Wright, Chandler Jones, Brandon Weeden, Riley Reiff, David DeCastro, Prince Amukamara, Adrian Clayborn, Phil Taylor, Anthony Castonzo, Danny Watkins, Sean Witherspoon, Kareem Jackson, Jermaine Gresham, Demaryius Thomas, Bryan Bulaga and Dez Bryant. Those are the players generally drafted between 19 and 24 over the last three seasons and yes, that list in 2010 stopped just before Tim Tebow.

Is it impossible for a team to want to trade up to 20? Hell no, and I certainly wouldn't rule out such a trade happening for a team to move up into the 20 range. Even in last year's massive trade extravaganza, the Patriots traded the 27th pick and a third rounder for the 21st pick (Chandler Jones) and the 31st and a fourth-rounder for the 25th (Dont'a Hightower). That's your projected bounty - a very late first-rounder and an extra third or fourth round pick.

Is that enough? Sure, on your big board you might have multiple players you like equally, in which case picking up the extra mid-round pick isn't a bad idea and you still get a player you like, and all the draft really is anyway is a chance taken on a player that may or may not work out. But the higher up you pick, the better chance you can get your hands on one of those better players.

Do you think a team would be willing to trade up into the 20th pick this year, and which players would you be willing to trade up or down for?

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