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Fantasy Analysis: NFL Review - Week 3

With 3 games down, its time to take off the padlocks and start evaluating the truth of your roster - most of the flukes and kinks have shown; anyone performing consistently through 3 weeks has a good chance to sustain at least for the near future...anyone suffering this long without an easy to identify reason isn't likely to explode in the future. Those who have been on again, off again, over 3 weeks should be looked at as "boom or bust" stars for the season, unless it was just 1 down game and you can identify the "why" in their suffering. Match-up based plays will start to have meaning when comparing equal players, and all the rest. Let's take a look at this week and start to project a little both for the upcoming week, and the long run.

US PRESSWIRE - Presswire


To standardize some, I rate based on ESPN standard scoring, which is rather close to all standard scoring, namely: 4pt/TD passing, 6pt/TD Rushing, Receiving, D/ST; 1pt/25 YD passing, 1pt/10 yards Rushing & Receiving. 2pt/2pt Conversion, Passing, Rushing, or Receiving. -2pt/INT & FL. D/ST scoring should be found on the ESPN website; this article is already going to get PLENTY long. mnn

Week 3 Review

Quarterback: Top 12: Big Ben, Matt Schaub, Joe Flacco, Andy Dalton, Jake Locker, Christian Ponder, RGIII, Andrew Luck, Matt Ryan, Drew Brees, Peyton Manning and Carson Palmer! No Rodgers, Stafford, Newton, Vick, Eli Manning, Romo, Cutler, etc worth #1 spots this week. 5 of the top 8 were 1st or 2nd year QBs.

Running Back: Charles, MJD, Andre Brown, Rice, LeShoure, McFadden, Foster, Turner, Alfred Morris, Bush, Jacquizz Rodgers, and Benson round out RB1 scoring. Spiller, Daniel Thomas, Peterson, Murray, Richardson, Lynch, Tashard Choice, Woodhead, Ronnie Brown, Ryan Williams, DeAngelo Williams, and BenJarvus Ellis-Green round out RB2 performances.

Wide Receiver: Green, Torrey Smith, C. Johnson, Wallace, Golden Tate, Fitzgerald, Washington, TY Hilton, Burleson, Welker, Holmes, and Cecil Shorts give us the WR1 this week. Stokley, Andre Johnson, Kevin Walter, Lance Moore, Ramses Barden, Decker, Andre Hawkins, Titus Young, Jeremy Kerley, Steve Johnson, Julio Jones, Antonio Brown and Armon Binns round out the WR2 group. Lots of no-name guys in there, showing the boom or bust factor of the WR position, especially in non-PPR formats.

Tight End: Heath Miller, Gonzalez, Kyle Rudolph, Martellus Bennett, Cook, Gresham, V. Davis, Dennis Pitta, Joel Dreessen, Olsen, Fred Davis, and Owen Daniels got TE1 this week.

This Weeks Match-ups

Quarterback: Matt Schaub, Philip Rivers, Aaron Rodgers, Joe Flacco and Peyton Manning all have very favorable match-ups this week...If you are looking for a less "I start him anyway" option, Mark Sanchez and Christian Ponder have favorable looks.

Running Back: You'll start who you'll start, but also consider Cedric Benson, BenJarvus Ellis-Green, Michael Turner, Ben Tate, Ryan Matthews, and Ryan Williams.

Wide Receiver: Obviously you have some must start guys, but others with favorable match-ups include: Vincent Jackson & Mike Williams get a great matchup, Anquan Boldin, Brandon Lloyd, Wes Welker, Malcolm Floyd, and Kevin Walters.

Tight End: Owen Daniels, Kyle Rudolph, Brandon Myers if healthy, Dustin Keller if he is back...This is neglecting all of your obvious top 10 tight ends.

D/ST: The Giants and sadly Cowboys both face very favorable fantasy match-ups this week, to help those limping through a Pittsburgh selection now facing a bye week. The Chargers aren't a bad pick up this week either, if only for this week. Start your top 10 D/ST units based on your scoring systems as expected.

Long Haul Projections (QB & RB this week, WR & TE next week)


QB1 Ryan Brees RGIII Brady Big Ben Rodgers E. Manning Flacco P. Manning Luck Schaub Rivers
QB2 Palmer Vick Newton Stafford Romo Cutler Dalton Sanchez Cassel Ponder Locker Smith

Running Back:

RB1 Foster Rice MJD Charles Peterson Spiller Forte R. Bush Lynch McCoy BGE Ridley
RB2 Morris Gore McGahee Richardson McFadden Sproles LeShoure Murray Martin Turner Greene Matthews
RB3 D. Brown Tate M. Bush
DeAngelo Williams A. Brown S. Jackson Mendenhall Ingram D. Thomas P. Thomas Benson Bradshaw

My Fantasy Performance This Season:

Yahoo! WCG 0 3 L
NFL Site 3 0 W
ESPN Prize 1 2 W
ESPN Family 3 0 W
CBS Money 3 0 W

WCG Pick Em: 28-20 (came into week in 2nd Place, not sure on standings till Dane's Article)

Yahoo Pick Em: 26-22 (2nd Place)

Injury Watch:

RB CJ Spiller, RB Matt Forte and RB Reggie Bush are likely to miss this week.TE Aaron Hernandez is still out.

Watch QB Matt Schaub & Matthew Stafford.

Watch RB Willis McGahee, Ahmad Bradshaw, Jonathan Stewart, Beanie Wells and Peyton Hillis.

Watch WR Hakeem Nicks, Pierre Garcon, Jeremy Maclin, Leonard Hankerson, Darrius Heyward-Bey, Mohamed Massaquoi, Julian Edelman, Dexter McCluster...

Watch Jared Cook and Brandon Myers.

Check your defensive/special teams squads and kickers on your own :)

Bye Week Reminder: Pittsburgh Steelers, Indianapolis Colts - This means no QB Ben Roethlisberger or Andrew Luck; no WR Mike Wallace, Antonio Brown, Reggie Wayne, Austin Collie, Donnie Avery or TY Hilton; no RB Rashad Mendenhall yet either, nor his backups, and no Donald Brown; no TE Coby Fleener or Heath Miller, no Pittsburgh D/ST; no K Shaun Suisham or Adam Viniateri.