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When (If Ever) Will Pace Break Even?

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Ryan Pace has a five-year deal. At the end of those five years, it is almost impossible that the Bears will have won as many games than they lost under his leadership. Will he ever break even?

NFL: Denver Broncos at Chicago Bears Dennis Wierzbicki-USA TODAY Sports

Currently, the Chicago Bears are 13-33 under general manager Ryan Pace. That means that if the Bears had back-to-back 13-win seasons after splitting the last two games of this season, they would hit a 50 percent winning percentage under the guidance of the man from Flower Mound, Texas by the end of his five-year deal.

I am often critical of Pace, but even if I were a strong believer in his abilities I would find it difficult to believe that the Bears are that close to turning the corner.

To put it another way, if the Bears win out this season and then have three consecutive 11-5 seasons, they would barely have won half of their regular-season games since Pace took over.

That then is the question of the day. It’s impossible for Pace to break even in 2018 (31-33 is the best he could hope for). In 2019 it is just barely possible. In 2020 he could do it, but it would take Pace delivering on what he promised he was trying to build - a solid year-in, year-out contender.

Can he do it?

Poll

When, if ever, will Ryan Pace break even as a GM?

This poll is closed

  • 33%
    Never
    (228 votes)
  • 5%
    2019 (27+ more wins by then)
    (40 votes)
  • 14%
    2020 (11+ wins for three straight seasons)
    (96 votes)
  • 35%
    2021 or later (but it will happen)
    (241 votes)
  • 9%
    I was promised there would be no math!
    (66 votes)
671 votes total Vote Now