This is the second iteration of my confidence board. Just to review, I attempt to bring together different draft boards to determine what sort of consensus surrounds top prospects. Of course, this requires both a methodology and a certain amount of openness.
First, the methodology. For now, I am only using public boards that rank either Top 10 by position or Top 100 overall, and I am only using one board per guru (for example, if a site has both a “position ranking” and a “top 100” ranking, then I am only using the more recent of the two). I am in no way weighting boards or privileging one over another. There are boards I disagree with and boards that I like. Once I get more boards, I will provide some deeper analysis. For now, however, I’m just providing the context.
As for scoring, the top prospect on each board, by position or overall, gets a perfect score. Everyone else gets a portion of that (for example, the second-best position player gets a 90% score, and the second-best overall player gets a 99% score). The full board can be found here [link], but do not go looking for rigorous statistical methodology. This is more an exercise in gathering raw data than it is an effort to reinvent the wheel. This is because I firmly believe that the best way to really evaluate a prospect is to watch the player play, and so this is simply a public version of how I decide who I want to watch.
That leads to the need for “openness.” I have my own ideas about some of these players. However, I like to gather together the opinions of others, especially those who usually see things differently from me, because I believe that it helps give me a better sense of my own biases.
The current version includes boards from Matt Miller (11-27), Walter Football (12-28), Luke Easterling (12-11), Our Lads (1-5), NFL Draft Geek (11-19), NFL Draft Days (12-28), CBS Sports (1-3), and Windy City Gridiron’s own Jacob Infante (1-8). In the next edition, I will remove players who have committed to return to college and I will also update some of the older boards. If you have a board you would like to see me include, leave me a note in the comments section.