Look for the * if you read the previous post and want to skip to the changes.
New England Patriots Tom Brady / Luke Falk
The easy one first. Brady is still the man and there is no end in sight. However, New England's options, should something happen to the golden one, dried up with Garoppolo gone. Falk was a high comp % guy in a spread offense. He should at least have some game management skills but could be something with grooming.
Buffalo Bills Nathan Peterman / Josh Allen
Buffalo is having trouble hiding its interest in Allen. They have a lot of bargaining power with their #21 and #22 picks. They use those 2 and a bit more to trade up with Denver at #5. Peterman would enter camp as the starter and they would do well to keep him there as long as possible because Allen will need a lot of development.
Miami Dolphins Ryan Tannehill
Miami is currently trying to fool front offices into believing they have heavy interest in Baker Mayfield. It's a good ploy, as he could fall to #11 and that is the frame where moves for QBs happened last draft. Adam Gase called Tannehill the 2018 starter before the offseason even came about. They're comfortable with Matt Moore as a backup too.
*New York Jets Josh McCown / Josh Rosen
McCown has always been so underappreciated. NY recognized what he brings last year and with his very inexpensive contract and familiarity, they bring him back. Josh Rosen is the heir apparent and the last of the top 4 QBs taken In the top 6 picks of the draft.
Pittsburgh Steelers Ben Roethlisburger
They might add a QB in the draft, but Big Ben isn't going anywhere and whomever they add would likely be inconsequential.
Baltimore Ravens Joe Flacco
Baltimore is paying him too much to just walk away now. Even cutting him in 2019 would lead to a $16M dead cap hit. It's similar to the handcuff the Bears experienced with Cutler. If 2018 is another down year for Flacco, 2019 will be the year to draft for the future.
Cincinnati Bengals Andy Dalton
McCarron won his arbitration so he is leaving. Dalton had somes awful stretches this season, but ultimately his play finished about the way he always does; just average. Dalton's dead cap is only $2.4M in 2018 and nothing in 2019. They might add a QB in the 2nd or 3rd but Dalton is still the man.
*Cleveland Browns Sam Bradford / Baker Mayfield
Cleveland finally uses one of its two top-5 picks to add a blue chip QB. They are also loaded with cap space. Bradford is going to have difficulties finding any more than a 1 year deal because of the fears behind his mysterious and lingering knee injury. The Browns like Baker and his fiery spirit. Combining him with #1 overall pick Saquon Barkley create a difficult backfield to catch up to.
Jacksonville Jaguars Blake Bortles / Lamar Jackson
Bortles' 90/64 td:int ratio is solid, but he fumbles about 10 times a season too. His comp % is low and film study doesn't give you a favorable impression. He is better than he is characterized though. Jax picked up his 5th year option. Adding Jackson in the 2nd gives the team either an option to take in 2018 or another direction to take in 2019. Lamar could provide the kind of electricity Watson gave to Houston (without an injury history).
Tennessee Titans Marcus Mariota
No surprises here. Mariota has some things to work on, and he certainly experienced a down season, but his talent is still clear. The Titans should be planning to extend him before 2019 unless something catastrophic takes place.
Indianapolis Colts Andrew Luck
I think he'll be back, even though he isn't even throwing yet. Indy can't budge his contract anyway. In the worst case scenario they have to again turn to Jacoby Brissett, but I think Luck gets to throwing before the draft and the Colts take the chance that Luck returns eventually if not to begin the season.
Houston Texans Deshaun Watson / Tyrod Taylor
Clearly the Texans want/need Watson back. Taylor deserves another shot as a starter, but he is viewed behind guys like Cousins and McCarron. Teams will be more interested in a short-term bridge starter to give their early drafted QB some time to learn. Houston needs an insurance policy if Watson takes on another injury and Taylor can run the same style of offense.
Kansas City Chiefs Patrick Mahomes
This is a clear one. Moving on from Smith has paved the way.
*Los Angeles Chargers Phillip Rivers / Mason Rudolph
Rivers is 36 years old but he had a solid 2017. He is also on the books through 2019. They could do with some youth at the position and Cardale Jones just hasn't shown he is capable. Rudolph can be had in the second round and comps pretty well with Rivers.
Oakland Raiders Derek Carr
Not much to say here. 2017 was a dip in success but he still met the average play threshold. This position won't change for a long time for the Raiders.
*Denver Broncos Case Keenum
Cousins is the top target but ultimately Denver can't offer what Minnesota or the Jets can. Keenum had a good year and he can be had for reasonable starter money. They don't have to give up on Paxton Lynch yet, and they can be competitive with Keenum and their defense.
Philadelphia Eagles Carson Wentz / Nick Foles
The asking price for Foles is likely very high. There is also the possibility that Wentz isn't ready to go by first kickoff. The Eagles are thinking repeat and they might need the insurance policy they have in Foles despite the fact that they would lose him in 2019 with no compensation.
Dallas Cowboys Dak Prescott
Sophomore slump but nothing catastrophic. Dak will start all the way through his rookie deal.
Washington Redskins Alex Smith
Smith got a long term contract so he is the man for a while. Backup Colt McCoy is pretty solid too. This isn't a spectacular group but few have a far better situation.
*New York Giants Eli Manning / Sam Darnold
Darnold is the first QB off the board at #2 overall. Eli probably has just one more year in him and it's likely not going to be an inspiring one. It does provide NY with an opportunity to groom an heir though. Darnold has corrections to be made in his windup and footwork and he forces turnovers because he tries to do too much. He still has loads of talent and time to hone it should pay dividends.
*Minnesota Vikings Kirk Cousins
MN just has everything it needs going for it to win this contest. Cap space, a roster ready to contend, proximity to Cousins' home, tax incentives, and others. Cousins would like a short deal so he can re-enter this ever inflating market again in his early 30's (and do so potentially having won a super bowl).
Detroit Lions Matt Stafford
No comment needed.
Green Bay Packers Aaron Rodgers
This team lives and dies by this guy. They simply accept mediocrity if he takes on injury.
Chicago Bears Mitchell Trubisky
The future. I'm not sure who will back up Trubisky but it won't matter much.
*New Orleans Saints Drew Brees / Teddy Bridgewater
Brees is pushing 40 but played terrific last year. NO is looking to give him a short, maybe just 1 year, deal. The team has a lot of young talent that is going to outlast Brees. Bridgewater would like a starting role, but teams are going to find it hard to trust his health. The promise of a future starting role could draw him here and set the team up to maintain success when the transition takes place.
Carolina Panthers Cam Newton
Nothing much to say here.
Atlanta Falcons Matt Ryan
Ryan is a year removed from an MVP level season. He should see an extension before the 2018 year is up.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Jameis Winston
Though he had weight concerns, TB is looking for Winston to eat more W's. He isn't going anywhere though. They have talented players, but something is not working in TB.
Los Angeles Rams Jared Goff
McVay/Goff season 2.
Seattle Seahawks Russell Wilson
Wilson was the only thing the Seahawks' offense had going for itself last year.
Arizona Cardinals AJ McCarron / Mike White
Cleveland wanted him but bunged it up. Now that he is a UFA, McCarron can choose his destination. Arizona has no one signed to play QB right now. That's kind of amazing. They can double dip here to fill out the position with a mid round guy like White.
San Francisco 49ers Jimmy Garoppolo
The NFL's highest paid player. SF feels set for a long time.