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Best bets: Bears-Saints, survivor picks and more

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The Bears are once again favored, but does it mean much against a resilient Saints team?

New Orleans Saints v Jacksonville Jaguars Photo by Julio Aguilar/Getty Images

The dynamic duo is back after the bye and ready to make some more correct picks.

Last week was no bye for Jeff and Sam, as they waded into the waters of picking NFL games league-wide and found some winners.

Sam hit on the Cardinals, the Cardinals/Falcons total (over) and Jeff hit on the Patriots, although it looked like it could be close for a hot minute.

Although the Eagles dropped the ball for him, which must mean the Eagles are officially bad, using the law of Kirk, right?

They did both safely stay on the right side in the survivor pool by sticking with New England.

Overall, we eliminated one more player this week for a total of 15 as Jacky tried to be sneaky and took the Dolphins. There are 17 teams on the verge of elimination heading into this week while nine teams are still in a good spot with only one strike.

Amazingly enough, seven teams are still working off a clean sheet. Three teams earned a strike last week betting on Dallas to take out the Jets while three teams were lucky to escape without a strike after taking Washington. Overall, Week 6 only brought nine strikes to the picks.

In pick ‘ems, the leaderboard hasn’t exactly gained any clarity as we now have a five-way tie for first place with a record of 48-44. Blowfish, Monster Hicks Picks, t4m8shn, WhiteH20, and CoachClem02 now share the lead with another three players within two picks. Sam remains the top WCGer with 44 correct while Jeff and Lester are down at 42 right.

This week we move back into the Bears picks and Sam looks to stay alive in the survivor league with a lot of the ‘sure thing’ teams gone for him.

Bears (-3) vs. Saints (O/U 38)

Sunday, 3:25 p.m. CT

Sam: Looking at the Bears, this is a tough game to pick. I would rather stay away from it, if I’m honest, because the Saints just don’t seem like a team that should full field goal underdogs, but they haven’t lit the world on fire either.

The Saints have covered as road underdogs twice this season in three away games, only losing at the Rams, in a game where they lost Brees.

Overall the Saints are 4-2 against the spread and in their four-game win streak are 4-0 against the number, including 3-0 as underdogs.

However, now they’re down Alvin Kamara and Brees and Chicago should be the best defense that Teddy Bridgewater has faced. Will that be the difference?

The Saints defense is what complicates things because they’ve been shutting down opponents and allowing Bridgewater to keep the Saints in low-scoring affairs.

For that reason, I am picking the Saints to cover the number, I think it’s going to be a close game. If you can get this game at 3.5, do it because this is a game that could easily push on 3.

On the total, this is an easy under for me, I know the Saints have kind of see-sawed but these two defenses are going to be the big players this weekend. I can’t see the winner scoring more than 20.

Survivor: This is a tough week for me, as I’m still at two strikes and there’s not a lot of teams I’m absolutely confident in. Sure, I could knock the Bills off, playing at home against the Dolphins, but do I really want to trust that offense?

For that reason, I am rolling with the San Francisco 49ers, even though they’re on the road against Washington. I think defense travels and Washington doesn’t have enough offense to begin with to hang with them.

Picks: Saints +3, under 38, 49ers (survivor)

Jeff: I went 4-1 in my betting article over at the QB List last week but my one loss was that Eagles game that I used here too. Shame.

Let me start with the survivor pick because I am absolutely rolling with 70 percent of the Yahoo survivors in taking the Bills. Buffalo is a good team and this is the one game I feel really good about them comfortably winning. Sam is still holding out hope that his pick of Dolphins over 4.5 wins will start to come true so he’s avoiding a good thing when it’s staring him in the face. The 49ers look great too, don’t get me wrong, but they are traveling to the east coast for an early kickoff and as bad as Washington has been, they at least have a gunslinger as their trigger man. But who am I kidding, either one is fine!

As for the Bears picks, I don’t really want to pick this game at all. I think the defense comes out fired up, trying to make amends for the failed European tour. So I’m going to agree with Sam on the under as I can see the Bears defense making it difficult for Teddy Two Gloves to break double digits. On offense, the Bears simply have to have something figured out and I think people are underestimating the bump that Trubisky can bring to this unit. I’m envisioning a 16-6 type of contest so I guess that means I’m taking the Bears -3. Look for a big game from Tarik Cohen out of the backfield and for Eddie Jackson to make a big play on defense.

Picks: Bears -3, under 38, Bills (survivor)

What are your best picks of the week? Tell us in the comments or hit us up on Twitter @samhouseholder and @gridironborn.