FanPost

Projecting Justin Fields' Maturation as a Passer


Putting some data behind future projection on comparable athletes at the QB position. The most interesting part of this comparison is the data on Fields' college career. He has by far the greatest passing percentages of anyone in this comparison, leading this group in each key metric.

  • Fields' completion rate was a whopping 68.4%. The next best was McNabb at 10 points lower (58.4%).
  • Fields' TD rate was an incredible 10.4%. The next best was McNabb at 8.2%.
  • Fields' INT was was just 1.4%. The next best was Lamar at 2.4%... a whole point higher.
If all of these dynamic dual-threat QBs were heading into the same draft today. Fields' prolific passing should rank him as the best NFL prospect of the bunch. Each of these QBs began their NFL careers with poor passing statistics, and then made significant improvements. Which is to be expected. But, Fields has the highest base metrics from college to help project his NFL maturation.

Of note: Cunningham, Vick and McNabb each had very long NFL careers, despite the narrative that QBs who run the ball get hurt and don't last.

Randall Cunningham College Stats:
Completion % = 58.1
TD = 61 (5.7%)
INT = 30 (2.8%)
Randall Cunningham Pro Stats (16 seasons):
Year 1 Completion % = 42.0
Year 2 Completion % = 53.1
Career Completion % = 56.6
Career TD = 207 (4.8%)
Career INT = 134 (3.1%)

Donovan McNabb College Stats:
Completion % = 58.4
TD = 77 (8.2%)
INT = 26 (2.7%)
Donovan McNabb Pro Stats (11 seasons):
Year 1 Completion % = 49.1
Year 2 Completion % = 58.0
Career Completion % = 59.0
Career TD = 234 (4.4%)
Career INT = 117 (2.2%)

Michael Vick College Stats:
Completion % = 56.0
TD = 21 (6.1%)
INT = 11 (3.2%)
Michael Vick Pro Stats (13 seasons):
Year 1 Completion % = 44.2
Year 2 Completion % = 54.9
Career Completion % = 56.2
Career TD = 133 (4.1%)
Career INT = 88 (2.7%)

Lamar Jackson College Stats:
Completion % = 57.0
TD = 69 (6.3%)
INT = 27 (2.4%)
Lamar Jackson Pro Stats (5 seasons):
Year 1 Completion % = 58.2
Year 2 Completion % = 66.1
Career Completion % = 63.7
Career TD = 101 (6.1%)
Career INT = 38 (2.3%)

Josh Allen College Stats:
Completion % = 56.2
TD = 44 (6.7%)
INT = 21 (3.2%)
Josh Allen Pro Stats (5 seasons):
Year 1 Completion % = 52.8
Year 2 Completion % = 58.8
Career Completion % = 62.5
Career TD = 138 (5.4%)
Career INT = 60 (2.3%)

Justin Field College Stats:
Completion % = 68.4
TD = 67 (10.8%)
INT = 9 (1.4%)
Justin Field Pro Stats (2 seasons):
Year 1 Completion % = 58.9
Year 2 Completion % = 60.4
Career Completion % = 59.7
Career TD = 24 (4.1%)
Career INT = 21 (3.6%)

This Fanpost was written by a Windy City Gridiron member and does not necessarily reflect the ideas or opinions of its staff or community.